Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 01/08, 07:00

Prediction: Belconnen United vs Tigers FC

Team pages: Belconnen United · Tigers FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Belconnen United1.48

Tigers FC2.32

1X2

23% 21% 56%

Belconnen United Draw Tigers FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Belconnen United 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Tigers FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Belconnen United 0–1–5 Tigers FC (6 last)

Tigers FC3-2Belconnen United
Tigers FC3-0Belconnen United
Belconnen United0-2Tigers FC
Belconnen United2-2Tigers FC
Tigers FC3-1Belconnen United
Tigers FC1-0Belconnen United

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigers FC (rating 1405 vs 1586).
H2H favours Tigers FC: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belconnen United	Tigers FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.2	2.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 2.7	2.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.78

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 5.19 ★
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 15.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:05 +7’	4.10	5.00	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:50 +1’	5.60	5.08	1.28
23:11	5.19▼	4.90▼	1.32▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Belconnen United 0–1–5 Tigers FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Tigers FC	3-2 HT 1-0	Belconnen United
07/04/26 Australia Cup Qualifying	Tigers FC	3-0 HT 2-0	Belconnen United
03/09/22 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Belconnen United	0-2 HT 0-1	Tigers FC
16/07/22 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Belconnen United	2-2 HT 0-0	Tigers FC
14/05/22 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Tigers FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Belconnen United
27/06/21 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Tigers FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Belconnen United

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	16	13	1	2	48	18	40
2	Monaro Panthers	16	13	0	3	56	22	39
3	Tigers FC	17	11	2	4	47	21	35
4	Tuggeranong Utd	16	11	0	5	37	34	33
5	Canberra Juventus	16	10	0	6	34	29	30
6	Queanbeyan City	16	8	2	6	32	25	26
7	Canberra Olympic	16	5	2	9	34	43	17
8	O'Connor Knights	16	5	1	10	16	31	16
9	Belconnen United	16	2	3	11	24	35	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	16	3	0	13	10	46	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	17	2	1	14	14	48	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belconnen United	Tigers FC
O'Connor Knights	1-1 D	1-0 W
Tuggeranong Utd	0-1 L	4-1 W
Canberra Juventus	0-1 L	5-1 W
Queanbeyan City	1-2 L	2-2 D
Brindabella Blues FC	4-1 W	7-0 W
Canberra White Eagles	1-2 L	2-0 W
Canberra Croatia FC	1-4 L	1-1 D
Monaro Panthers	1-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tigers FC (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Belconnen United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
11/07	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
04/07	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-1	0	2	L
20/06	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
13/06	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	4-1	3	4	W
10/06	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
03/06	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-2	1-3	4	0	L
30/05	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	1-4	2	2	L
23/05	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-2	4-4	3	3	D
16/05	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-3	1	1	L

Tigers FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	4-1	4	2	W
22/07	Western Sydney Wanderers Australia Cup	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
11/07	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-2	3	1	D
04/07	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
27/06	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
20/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
14/06	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	5-1	3	2	W
10/06	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
06/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	5-1	2	8	W
23/05	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	3-0	7-0	5	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belconnen United vs Tigers FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigers FC win (56%). Probabilities: Belconnen United 23%, draw 21%, Tigers FC 56%.

How many goals are expected in Belconnen United vs Tigers FC?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Belconnen United 1.48 · Tigers FC 2.32), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Belconnen United vs Tigers FC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.