Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 02/08, 07:00

Prediction: Canberra Croatia FC vs Canberra Juventus

Team pages: Canberra Croatia FC · Canberra Juventus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.26Total

Canberra Croatia FC2.99

Canberra Juventus1.27

1X2

72% 16% 13%

Canberra Croatia FC Draw Canberra Juventus

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Canberra Croatia FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Canberra Juventus 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Canberra Croatia FC 1–0 Canberra Juventus (1 last)

Canberra Juventus2-5Canberra Croatia FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canberra Croatia FC 1590 · Canberra Juventus 1513

	Canberra Croatia FC	Draw	Canberra Juventus
Our model	72%	16%	13%
Market	72%	16%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 4.26 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canberra Croatia FC (rating 1590 vs 1513).
High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canberra Croatia FC	Canberra Juventus
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.5	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 7.4	3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.5	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.75

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.95

2 (+2)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.80

Under 42.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:17 +10’	1.25	5.75	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Croatia FC 1–0–0 Canberra Juventus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/07/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Canberra Juventus	2-5 HT 0-3	Canberra Croatia FC

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	16	13	1	2	48	18	40
2	Monaro Panthers	16	13	0	3	56	22	39
3	Tigers FC	17	11	2	4	47	21	35
4	Tuggeranong Utd	16	11	0	5	37	34	33
5	Canberra Juventus	16	10	0	6	34	29	30
6	Queanbeyan City	16	8	2	6	32	25	26
7	Canberra Olympic	16	5	2	9	34	43	17
8	O'Connor Knights	16	5	1	10	16	31	16
9	Belconnen United	16	2	3	11	24	35	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	16	3	0	13	10	46	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	17	2	1	14	14	48	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canberra Croatia FC	Canberra Juventus
Brindabella Blues FC	2-0 W	2-0 W
Canberra Olympic	3-0 W	3-2 W
Tuggeranong Utd	1-2 L	5-0 W
Tigers FC	1-1 D	1-5 L
Canberra White Eagles	2-1 W	4-1 W
Queanbeyan City	4-2 W	1-3 L
Belconnen United	4-1 W	1-0 W
Monaro Panthers	4-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Canberra Croatia FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Canberra Croatia FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	3-0	5-2	6	2	W
11/07	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	2-0	13	7	W
05/07	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
28/06	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	13	1	L
20/06	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
17/06	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	2-1	19	6	W
10/06	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-1	4-2	4	7	W
06/06	Tigers FC Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	1-5	3	8	L
30/05	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	4-1	3	2	W
24/05	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	3-1	4-1	3	6	W

Canberra Juventus

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
21/07	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-3	2-5	4	2	L
11/07	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
04/07	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
28/06	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
14/06	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	1-5	5	2	L
10/06	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	3-2	9	15	W
30/05	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	5-0	12	3	W
23/05	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
17/05	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	4-1	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canberra Croatia FC vs Canberra Juventus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Canberra Croatia FC win (72%). Probabilities: Canberra Croatia FC 72%, draw 16%, Canberra Juventus 13%.

How many goals are expected in Canberra Croatia FC vs Canberra Juventus?

The model expects 4.26 goals (Canberra Croatia FC 2.99 · Canberra Juventus 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Canberra Croatia FC vs Canberra Juventus?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.