Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 25/07, 15:00

Prediction: Tacuary vs Sol de America

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Tacuary1.05

Sol de America1.41

1X2

27% 28% 44%

Tacuary Draw Sol de America

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Tacuary 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

LDDDDLWWDD

Sol de America 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWWDDD

Head-to-head

Tacuary 1–2–3 Sol de America (6 last)

Sol de America1-1Tacuary
Sol de America2-1Tacuary
Tacuary1-1Sol de America

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tacuary 1499 · Sol de America 1545

	Tacuary	Draw	Sol de America
Our model	27%	29%	44%
Market	27%	28%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sol de America (rating 1499 vs 1545).
H2H favours Sol de America: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tacuary	Sol de America
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.20

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.36 ★
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.24
2	2.20 → 2.00▼	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +2’	2.88	3.10	2.20
05:07 +3’	3.25▲	3.20▲	2.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:08 +1’	3.36	3.19	1.94
08:09	3.30▼	3.19	1.96▲
13:26 +1’	3.36▲	3.24▲	1.98▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacuary 1–2–3 Sol de America

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	1-1 HT 1-1	Tacuary
14/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	2-1 HT 2-1	Tacuary
10/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Tacuary	1-1 HT 0-0	Sol de America
26/10/24 Paraguay Division Profesional	Tacuary	0-4 HT 0-3	Sol de America
18/08/24 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sol de America	1-2 HT 0-0	Tacuary
22/05/24 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sol de America	6-3 HT 2-2	Tacuary

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	15	10	3	2	22	11	33
2	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	15	9	4	2	26	13	31
3	Deportivo Santaní	16	8	3	5	22	14	27
4	General Caballero JLM	15	8	3	4	30	21	27
5	Sol de America	15	5	8	2	18	13	23
6	Club Atlético Tembetary	15	6	4	5	24	21	22
7	Deportivo Capiata	15	5	7	3	21	18	22
8	Guairena FC	15	6	3	6	17	19	21
9	Independiente FBC	15	5	5	5	23	22	20
10	Carapegua	15	5	4	6	18	27	19
11	Resistencia FC	15	4	6	5	16	20	18
12	Fernando de la Mora	15	5	3	7	18	24	18
13	Tacuary	15	2	8	5	19	23	14
14	Paraguari AC	16	3	4	9	15	22	13
15	Encarnacion FC	15	3	2	10	15	23	11
16	3 de Noviembre	15	0	7	8	13	26	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tacuary	Sol de America
Club Atlético Tembetary	4-2 W	1-1 D
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	2-3 L	1-1 D
Carapegua	2-2 D	1-1 D
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-2 D	1-0 W
Encarnacion FC	2-2 D	3-2 W
Deportivo Santaní	0-0 D	0-0 D
Fernando de la Mora	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	3 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sol de America (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tacuary

LDDDDLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
13/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-2	3	2	D
03/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
27/06	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
06/06	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	2	7	L
31/05	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-2	2	5	D
24/05	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-2	6	5	D
19/05	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-2	1	9	D
15/05	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
09/05	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	0	5	L

Sol de America

DLWWDWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
05/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	7	0	D
28/06	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	0	6	W
08/06	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-2	2	7	W
29/05	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
24/05	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
20/05	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
17/05	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	2	L
12/05	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	3	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tacuary vs Sol de America?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sol de America win (44%). Probabilities: Tacuary 27%, draw 28%, Sol de America 44%.

How many goals are expected in Tacuary vs Sol de America?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Tacuary 1.05 · Sol de America 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tacuary vs Sol de America?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.