Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 30/08, 19:15

Prediction: Atletico Madrid B vs Juventud Torremolinos CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Atletico Madrid B1.59

Juventud Torremolinos CF1.06

1X2

48% 27% 24%

Atletico Madrid B Draw Juventud Torremolinos CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Madrid B 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWLWLW

Juventud Torremolinos CF 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDWWLL

Head-to-head

Atletico Madrid B 1–1 Juventud Torremolinos CF (2 last)

Juventud Torremolinos CF3-1Atletico Madrid B
Atletico Madrid B3-1Juventud Torremolinos CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Madrid B 1482 · Juventud Torremolinos CF 1451

	Atletico Madrid B	Draw	Juventud Torremolinos CF
Our model	48%	27%	24%
Market	48%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Madrid B	Juventud Torremolinos CF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.8	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.4	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.25

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.87
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.41 ★
2	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:55 +3’	1.85	3.25	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:06	1.85	3.38	3.89
16:27	1.87▲	3.41▲	3.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Madrid B 1–0–1 Juventud Torremolinos CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Juventud Torremolinos CF	3-1 HT 0-1	Atletico Madrid B
19/10/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Atletico Madrid B	3-1 HT 2-0	Juventud Torremolinos CF

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alcorcon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Aguilas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Algeciras CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Antequera	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Madrid B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Teruel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CE Europa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rayo Majadahonda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Cartagena	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gimnastic	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hercules	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Juventud Torremolinos CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Jaen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Madrid B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Murcia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Huesca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UD Ibiza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UE Sant Andreu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Villarreal B	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Madrid B	Juventud Torremolinos CF
Betis Deportivo	3-1 W	1-2 L
Marbella FC	5-4 W	1-0 W
Real Murcia	1-2 L	1-3 L
Antequera	3-2 W	1-3 L
FC Cartagena	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Madrid B (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Madrid B

WWLWDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	3-1	3-1	7	2	W
16/05	Eldense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-2	5	7	L
08/05	Sabadell Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	4-3	1	6	W
03/05	Juventud Torremolinos CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-3	3	5	L
24/04	Betis Deportivo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	3-1	8	11	W
19/04	Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
10/04	Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	5-4	6	4	W
05/04	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	1-2	4	8	L
29/03	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	3-2	7	10	W
21/03	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-0	5	7	W

Juventud Torremolinos CF

WLLLLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-3	6	7	L
16/05	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
10/05	Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	3-1	3	5	W
26/04	SD Tarazona Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
19/04	Betis Deportivo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
12/04	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	1-2	1	3	L
04/04	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
28/03	Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-2	1	3	L
21/03	Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	5	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Madrid B vs Juventud Torremolinos CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Madrid B win (48%). Probabilities: Atletico Madrid B 48%, draw 27%, Juventud Torremolinos CF 24%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Madrid B vs Juventud Torremolinos CF?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Atletico Madrid B 1.59 · Juventud Torremolinos CF 1.06), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Madrid B vs Juventud Torremolinos CF?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.