Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 06/09, 18:15
Prediction: Real Murcia vs Teruel
Team pages: Real Murcia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Real Murcia1.3
Teruel0.6
1X2
Real Murcia
Draw
Teruel
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Murcia
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Teruel
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Murcia
0–2–0
Teruel
(2 last)
- Teruel0-0Real Murcia
- Real Murcia0-0Teruel
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Murcia 1582 · Teruel 1448
| Real Murcia | Draw | Teruel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 31% | 16% |
| Market | 54% | 29% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Murcia (rating 1582 vs 1448).
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Murcia | Teruel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.1 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Murcia 0–2–0 Teruel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Teruel | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Murcia |
| 16/11/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Real Murcia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Teruel |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Jaen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Cartagena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gimnastic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Antequera | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Real Murcia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Huesca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Alcorcon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Teruel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Real Madrid B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | UD Ibiza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Rayo Majadahonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hercules | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | UE Sant Andreu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Real Zaragoza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Algeciras CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | CE Europa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Murcia | Teruel |
|---|---|---|
| Hercules | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Betis Deportivo | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| CE Europa | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Antequera | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Gimnastic | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Madrid B | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Murcia (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Murcia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Eldense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Juventud Torremolinos CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Betis Deportivo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Sabadell Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 05/04 | Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 29/03 | Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
Teruel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | SD Tarazona Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 26/04 | Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 28/03 | Betis Deportivo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Murcia vs Teruel?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Murcia win (53%). Probabilities: Real Murcia 53%, draw 30%, Teruel 17%.
How many goals are expected in Real Murcia vs Teruel?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Real Murcia 1.3 · Teruel 0.6), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Murcia vs Teruel?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.