Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 06/09, 18:15
Prediction: Alcorcon vs CE Europa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Alcorcon1.76
CE Europa0.8
1X2
Alcorcon
Draw
CE Europa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Alcorcon
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
CE Europa
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alcorcon
0–1–1
CE Europa
(2 last)
- Alcorcon0-1CE Europa
- CE Europa0-0Alcorcon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alcorcon 1499 · CE Europa 1461
| Alcorcon | Draw | CE Europa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alcorcon | CE Europa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 4.6 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alcorcon 0–1–1 CE Europa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Alcorcon | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CE Europa |
| 10/01/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | CE Europa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alcorcon |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Jaen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Cartagena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gimnastic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Antequera | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Real Murcia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Huesca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Alcorcon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Teruel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Real Madrid B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | UD Ibiza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Rayo Majadahonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hercules | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | UE Sant Andreu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Real Zaragoza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Algeciras CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | CE Europa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alcorcon | CE Europa |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Sanluqueno | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Villarreal B | 2-3 L | 3-3 D |
| UD Ibiza | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CE Europa (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alcorcon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
3-0 | 6-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 25/04 | Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 11/04 | SD Tarazona Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 05/04 | Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | D |
CE Europa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/04 | Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/04 | Eldense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alcorcon vs CE Europa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alcorcon win (60%). Probabilities: Alcorcon 60%, draw 24%, CE Europa 16%.
How many goals are expected in Alcorcon vs CE Europa?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Alcorcon 1.76 · CE Europa 0.8), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Alcorcon vs CE Europa?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.