Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 05/09, 18:45
Prediction: FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic
Team pages: FC Cartagena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
FC Cartagena1.22
Gimnastic0.88
1X2
FC Cartagena
Draw
Gimnastic
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Cartagena
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Gimnastic
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Cartagena
1–1
Gimnastic
(2 last)
- FC Cartagena1-0Gimnastic
- Gimnastic2-0FC Cartagena
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Cartagena 1502 · Gimnastic 1463
| FC Cartagena | Draw | Gimnastic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Cartagena | Gimnastic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 2.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.5 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Cartagena 1–0–1 Gimnastic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | FC Cartagena | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnastic |
| 14/12/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Gimnastic | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Cartagena |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Jaen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Cartagena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gimnastic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Antequera | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Real Murcia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Huesca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Alcorcon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Teruel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Real Madrid B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | UD Ibiza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Rayo Majadahonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hercules | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | UE Sant Andreu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Real Zaragoza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Algeciras CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | CE Europa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Cartagena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Betis Deportivo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 16/05 | UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 14 | D |
| 26/04 | Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Eldense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Juventud Torremolinos CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
Gimnastic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | SD Tarazona Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Juventud Torremolinos CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Cartagena win (43%). Probabilities: FC Cartagena 43%, draw 31%, Gimnastic 26%.
How many goals are expected in FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
The model expects 2.1 goals (FC Cartagena 1.22 · Gimnastic 0.88), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.