Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 06/09, 18:15
Prediction: Hercules vs Atletico Madrid B
Team pages: Hercules · Atletico Madrid B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Hercules1.31
Atletico Madrid B1.13
1X2
Hercules
Draw
Atletico Madrid B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Hercules
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Atletico Madrid B
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hercules
1–1–2
Atletico Madrid B
(4 last)
- Atletico Madrid B0-0Hercules
- Hercules3-0Atletico Madrid B
- Atletico Madrid B1-0Hercules
- Hercules1-2Atletico Madrid B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hercules 1490 · Atletico Madrid B 1455
| Hercules | Draw | Atletico Madrid B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Madrid B: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hercules | Atletico Madrid B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 2.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hercules 1–1–2 Atletico Madrid B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Atletico Madrid B | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hercules |
| 22/10/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Hercules | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Madrid B |
| 07/02/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Atletico Madrid B | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hercules |
| 26/10/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Hercules | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Atletico Madrid B |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Jaen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Cartagena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gimnastic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Antequera | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Real Murcia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Huesca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Alcorcon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Teruel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Real Madrid B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | UD Ibiza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Rayo Majadahonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hercules | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | UE Sant Andreu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Real Zaragoza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Algeciras CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | CE Europa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hercules | Atletico Madrid B |
|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Algeciras CF | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Teruel | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Sabadell | 0-1 L | 4-3 W |
| Marbella FC | 2-0 W | 5-4 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hercules (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hercules
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Sabadell Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 05/04 | Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/03 | Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Atletico Madrid B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Juventud Torremolinos CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
3-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Eldense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/05 | Sabadell Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Juventud Torremolinos CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Betis Deportivo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 11 | W |
| 19/04 | Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 5-4 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 29/03 | Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hercules vs Atletico Madrid B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hercules win (40%). Probabilities: Hercules 40%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid B 31%.
How many goals are expected in Hercules vs Atletico Madrid B?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Hercules 1.31 · Atletico Madrid B 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hercules vs Atletico Madrid B?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.