Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 30/08, 19:15

Prediction: Antequera vs UD Ibiza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Antequera1.15

UD Ibiza1.33

1X2

31% 30% 39%

Antequera Draw UD Ibiza

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Antequera 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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UD Ibiza 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDWLWL

Head-to-head

Antequera 2–1–3 UD Ibiza (6 last)

Antequera0-3UD Ibiza
UD Ibiza1-1Antequera
UD Ibiza5-3Antequera
Antequera2-0UD Ibiza
Antequera3-1UD Ibiza
UD Ibiza3-0Antequera

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antequera 1490 · UD Ibiza 1559

	Antequera	Draw	UD Ibiza
Our model	31%	30%	40%
Market	30%	30%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UD Ibiza (rating 1490 vs 1559).
H2H favours UD Ibiza: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Antequera	UD Ibiza
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	2.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X2.90

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 00:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.90▲	Pinn 3.01
X	3.00 → 2.90▼	Pinn 3.01
2	2.63 → 2.25▼	Pinn 2.34 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 13.4% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:49 +9’	2.45	3.00	2.63
15:03 +3’	3.10▲	3.10▲	2.15▼
00:03 +3’	2.90▼	2.90▼	2.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:06	3.01	3.01	2.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Antequera 2–1–3 UD Ibiza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Antequera	0-3 HT 0-1	UD Ibiza
21/09/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	UD Ibiza	1-1 HT 1-1	Antequera
09/02/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	UD Ibiza	5-3 HT 5-2	Antequera
10/11/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Antequera	2-0 HT 1-0	UD Ibiza
28/04/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Antequera	3-1 HT 1-1	UD Ibiza
17/12/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	UD Ibiza	3-0 HT 1-0	Antequera

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alcorcon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Aguilas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Algeciras CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Antequera	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Madrid B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Teruel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CE Europa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rayo Majadahonda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Cartagena	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gimnastic	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hercules	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Juventud Torremolinos CF	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Jaen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Madrid B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Murcia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Huesca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UD Ibiza	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UE Sant Andreu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Villarreal B	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Antequera	UD Ibiza
Juventud Torremolinos CF	3-1 W	2-1 W
Eldense	2-1 W	0-3 L
FC Cartagena	0-1 L	3-1 W
Villarreal B	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antequera

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Juventud Torremolinos CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	3-1	3	7	W
16/05	Sabadell Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
10/05	Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
02/05	Betis Deportivo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	1	7	L
25/04	Eldense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
17/04	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	3-2	3	7	W
11/04	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
04/04	SD Tarazona Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	2-3	6	8	L
29/03	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-3	5	10	L
21/03	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	5	8	L

UD Ibiza

LDDWLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	2-3	2	7	L
16/05	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	3-1	3	2	W
09/05	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
03/05	Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	4-0	2	2	W
25/04	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
19/04	Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
12/04	Juventud Torremolinos CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
05/04	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
29/03	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
22/03	Eldense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-3	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antequera vs UD Ibiza?

According to our model, the most likely result is an UD Ibiza win (39%). Probabilities: Antequera 31%, draw 30%, UD Ibiza 39%.

How many goals are expected in Antequera vs UD Ibiza?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Antequera 1.15 · UD Ibiza 1.33), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Antequera vs UD Ibiza?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.