Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 11/09, 21:15
Prediction: Gimnastic vs Algeciras CF
Team pages: Gimnastic · Algeciras CF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Gimnastic1.14
Algeciras CF0.83
1X2
Gimnastic
Draw
Algeciras CF
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnastic
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Algeciras CF
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnastic
2–2
Algeciras CF
(4 last)
- Algeciras CF1-0Gimnastic
- Gimnastic2-1Algeciras CF
- Gimnastic1-0Algeciras CF
- Algeciras CF1-0Gimnastic
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnastic 1445 · Algeciras CF 1496
| Gimnastic | Draw | Algeciras CF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 33% | 25% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Algeciras CF (rating 1445 vs 1496).
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnastic | Algeciras CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.8 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnastic 2–0–2 Algeciras CF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Algeciras CF | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnastic |
| 29/08/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Gimnastic | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Algeciras CF |
| 13/02/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Gimnastic | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Algeciras CF |
| 21/11/21 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Algeciras CF | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnastic |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Murcia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Villarreal B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Real Jaen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid B | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Gimnastic | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Huesca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | UE Sant Andreu | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | UD Ibiza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Antequera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Real Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Alcorcon | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Aguilas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | CE Europa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Teruel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Rayo Majadahonda | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Algeciras CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 | Hercules | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnastic | Algeciras CF |
|---|---|---|
| FC Cartagena | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Hercules | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| SD Tarazona | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Sevilla Atletico | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnastic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | SD Tarazona Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
Algeciras CF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 14 | D |
| 26/04 | Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | SD Tarazona Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnastic vs Algeciras CF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnastic win (43%). Probabilities: Gimnastic 43%, draw 31%, Algeciras CF 27%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnastic vs Algeciras CF?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Gimnastic 1.14 · Algeciras CF 0.83), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnastic vs Algeciras CF?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.