Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 12/09, 16:30

Prediction: CE Europa vs Hercules

Team pages: CE Europa · Hercules

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

CE Europa1.07

Hercules0.88

1X2

39% 32% 29%

CE Europa Draw Hercules

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

CE Europa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDLWLD

Hercules 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWWDLL

Head-to-head

CE Europa 1–2–1 Hercules (4 last)

CE Europa1-1Hercules
Hercules1-0CE Europa
Hercules0-0CE Europa
CE Europa1-0Hercules

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CE Europa 1466 · Hercules 1464

	CE Europa	Draw	Hercules
Our model	38%	34%	28%
Market	40%	30%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CE Europa	Hercules
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	1.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:28 +2’	2.25	3.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CE Europa 1–2–1 Hercules

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	CE Europa	1-1 HT 0-0	Hercules
08/11/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Hercules	1-0 HT 0-0	CE Europa
03/03/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	Hercules	0-0 HT 0-0	CE Europa
22/10/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	CE Europa	1-0 HT 0-0	Hercules

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Murcia	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	Villarreal B	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
3	Real Jaen	2	1	1	0	5	2	4
4	Atletico Madrid B	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	FC Cartagena	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
6	Gimnastic	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
6	Real Madrid B	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
8	Huesca	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
9	UE Sant Andreu	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
10	UD Ibiza	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
11	Antequera	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
12	Real Zaragoza	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
13	Alcorcon	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
14	Aguilas	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
14	Juventud Torremolinos CF	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
16	CE Europa	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
17	Teruel	2	0	1	1	0	4	1
18	Rayo Majadahonda	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
19	Algeciras CF	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
20	Hercules	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CE Europa	Hercules
Alcorcon	0-0 D	0-4 L
UD Ibiza	3-2 W	2-1 W
Gimnastic	1-2 L	1-1 D
Villarreal B	3-3 D	0-1 L
Real Murcia	0-2 L	1-2 L
Atletico Sanluqueno	3-1 W	0-0 D
Teruel	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CE Europa

LWWLWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
30/08	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-3	3	1	L
23/05	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	3-2	4	7	W
16/05	Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
10/05	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	3-3	10	3	D
01/05	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	3	9	W
26/04	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	0-2	8	7	L
18/04	Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	3-1	3	8	W
12/04	Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
03/04	Eldense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-3	1	5	L

Hercules

LDLWLWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
29/08	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-2	7	7	L
23/05	Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
16/05	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
09/05	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
03/05	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
26/04	Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	3-1	4	8	W
19/04	Sabadell Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
12/04	Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	9	D
05/04	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-4	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CE Europa vs Hercules?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CE Europa win (39%). Probabilities: CE Europa 39%, draw 32%, Hercules 29%.

How many goals are expected in CE Europa vs Hercules?

The model expects 1.94 goals (CE Europa 1.07 · Hercules 0.88), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CE Europa vs Hercules?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.