Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 16/10, 19:00

Prediction: FC Cartagena vs CE Europa

Team pages: FC Cartagena · CE Europa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

FC Cartagena1.64

CE Europa0.9

1X2

54% 27% 19%

FC Cartagena Draw CE Europa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Cartagena 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWDDLWWD

CE Europa 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLLWLW

Head-to-head

FC Cartagena 0–1–1 CE Europa (2 last)

FC Cartagena2-2CE Europa
CE Europa2-0FC Cartagena

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Cartagena 1512 · CE Europa 1461

	FC Cartagena	Draw	CE Europa
Our model	54%	27%	19%
Market	54%	26%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Cartagena (rating 1512 vs 1461).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Cartagena	CE Europa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.6	2.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.40

24.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.77 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.60 → 4.60	Bet365 4.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +6’	1.67	3.40	4.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:17 +7’	1.74	3.32	4.24
19:27 +90’	1.76▲	3.39▲	4.38▲
20:58 +64’	1.77▲	3.35▼	4.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Cartagena 0–1–1 CE Europa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	FC Cartagena	2-2 HT 0-2	CE Europa
16/11/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	CE Europa	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Cartagena

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Zaragoza	7	5	1	1	16	10	16
2	Real Murcia	7	5	0	2	11	7	15
3	Villarreal B	7	4	2	1	15	9	14
4	Hercules	7	4	1	2	6	5	13
5	Alcorcon	7	3	3	1	13	5	12
6	FC Cartagena	7	3	3	1	10	5	12
7	Real Jaen	7	3	3	1	11	8	12
8	Antequera	7	2	4	1	11	9	10
9	Huesca	7	2	4	1	9	9	10
9	UD Ibiza	7	3	1	3	9	9	10
11	Atletico Madrid B	7	2	3	2	15	12	9
12	Real Madrid B	7	2	3	2	8	7	9
13	UE Sant Andreu	7	2	2	3	7	8	8
14	Gimnastic	7	2	2	3	9	11	8
15	Algeciras CF	7	2	1	4	9	13	7
16	CE Europa	7	2	1	4	6	11	7
17	Aguilas	7	1	3	3	7	12	6
18	Teruel	7	1	2	4	3	12	5
19	Rayo Majadahonda	7	1	1	5	5	8	4
20	Juventud Torremolinos CF	7	0	2	5	8	18	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Cartagena	CE Europa
Real Murcia	1-0 W	1-2 L
Rayo Majadahonda	1-1 D	1-0 W
Gimnastic	0-0 D	1-2 L
Algeciras CF	3-1 W	2-1 W
UD Ibiza	1-3 L	3-2 W
Alcorcon	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Cartagena (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Cartagena

WLDWDDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
07/10	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
03/10	Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
20/09	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
12/09	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
05/09	Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	13	5	D
29/08	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
23/05	Betis Deportivo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
16/05	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	1-3	1	2	L
08/05	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	2-1	4	4	W

CE Europa

DLWLDLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
04/10	Huesca Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
27/09	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
19/09	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
12/09	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
06/09	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
30/08	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-3	3	1	L
23/05	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	3-2	4	7	W
16/05	Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
10/05	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	3-3	10	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Cartagena vs CE Europa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Cartagena win (54%). Probabilities: FC Cartagena 54%, draw 27%, CE Europa 19%.

How many goals are expected in FC Cartagena vs CE Europa?

The model expects 2.54 goals (FC Cartagena 1.64 · CE Europa 0.9), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Cartagena vs CE Europa?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.