Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 17/10, 20:30

Prediction: Villarreal B vs Teruel

Team pages: Villarreal B · Teruel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Villarreal B1.86

Teruel0.76

1X2

63% 23% 14%

Villarreal B Draw Teruel

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Villarreal B 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWDWLD

Teruel 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLLDLW

Head-to-head

Villarreal B 3–3 Teruel (6 last)

Teruel0-2Villarreal B
Teruel1-0Villarreal B
Villarreal B1-2Teruel
Teruel2-1Villarreal B
Teruel0-2Villarreal B
Villarreal B3-0Teruel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villarreal B 1572 · Teruel 1452

	Villarreal B	Draw	Teruel
Our model	62%	24%	14%
Market	63%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villarreal B (rating 1572 vs 1452).
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Villarreal B	Teruel
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	0.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.9	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.6	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.00

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +25’	1.42	4.00	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Villarreal B 3–0–3 Teruel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Club Friendly List	Teruel	0-2 HT 0-2	Villarreal B
08/03/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Teruel	1-0 HT 0-0	Villarreal B
07/12/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Villarreal B	1-2 HT 0-0	Teruel
06/08/25 Europe Friendlies	Teruel	2-1 HT 0-1	Villarreal B
19/04/19 Spain Segunda B Group 3	Teruel	0-2 HT 0-2	Villarreal B
01/12/18 Spain Segunda B Group 3	Villarreal B	3-0 HT 1-0	Teruel

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Zaragoza	7	5	1	1	16	10	16
2	Real Murcia	7	5	0	2	11	7	15
3	Villarreal B	7	4	2	1	15	9	14
4	Hercules	7	4	1	2	6	5	13
5	Alcorcon	7	3	3	1	13	5	12
6	FC Cartagena	7	3	3	1	10	5	12
7	Real Jaen	7	3	3	1	11	8	12
8	Antequera	7	2	4	1	11	9	10
9	Huesca	7	2	4	1	9	9	10
9	UD Ibiza	7	3	1	3	9	9	10
11	Atletico Madrid B	7	2	3	2	15	12	9
12	Real Madrid B	7	2	3	2	8	7	9
13	UE Sant Andreu	7	2	2	3	7	8	8
14	Gimnastic	7	2	2	3	9	11	8
15	Algeciras CF	7	2	1	4	9	13	7
16	CE Europa	7	2	1	4	6	11	7
17	Aguilas	7	1	3	3	7	12	6
18	Teruel	7	1	2	4	3	12	5
19	Rayo Majadahonda	7	1	1	5	5	8	4
20	Juventud Torremolinos CF	7	0	2	5	8	18	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Villarreal B	Teruel
Real Jaen	3-3 D	0-1 L
Antequera	2-2 D	0-1 L
Huesca	3-0 W	1-1 D
Rayo Majadahonda	2-1 W	0-2 L
Atletico Sanluqueno	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Villarreal B (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villarreal B

DWDWWWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
04/10	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
25/09	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
19/09	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	2-2	2	4	D
13/09	Huesca Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
04/09	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
29/08	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
23/05	Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
16/05	Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	2-0	12	4	W
10/05	CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	3-3	1	3	D

Teruel

LDLDLLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	3	11	W
04/10	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-4	2	6	L
27/09	Huesca Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
19/09	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
12/09	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
06/09	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-4	6	4	L
31/08	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
22/05	Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-3	1-3	7	2	L
16/05	Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
10/05	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villarreal B vs Teruel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Villarreal B win (63%). Probabilities: Villarreal B 63%, draw 23%, Teruel 14%.

How many goals are expected in Villarreal B vs Teruel?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Villarreal B 1.86 · Teruel 0.76), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Villarreal B vs Teruel?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.