Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 24/07, 04:00
Prediction: Herediano vs Puntarenas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Herediano1.6
Puntarenas0.77
1X2
Herediano
Draw
Puntarenas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Herediano
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Puntarenas
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Herediano
3–3
Puntarenas
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Herediano 1578 · Puntarenas 1423
| Herediano | Draw | Puntarenas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Herediano (rating 1578 vs 1423).
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Herediano | Puntarenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Herediano 3–0–3 Puntarenas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Herediano |
| 11/02/26 Costa Rica Cup | Puntarenas | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Herediano |
| 03/02/26 Costa Rica Cup | Herediano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Puntarenas |
| 29/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Puntarenas |
| 21/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Herediano |
| 03/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Puntarenas |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD San Carlos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cartagines | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Herediano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inter San Carlos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alajuelense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Municipal Liberia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Puntarenas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting San Jose | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Herediano | Puntarenas |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Saprissa | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Alajuelense | 1-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Cartagines | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Sporting San Jose | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Herediano (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Herediano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/07 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Super Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/04 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
Puntarenas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 25/03 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Herediano vs Puntarenas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Herediano win (57%). Probabilities: Herediano 57%, draw 26%, Puntarenas 17%.
How many goals are expected in Herediano vs Puntarenas?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Herediano 1.6 · Puntarenas 0.77), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Herediano vs Puntarenas?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.