Football · Ecuador Primera Women · 24/07, 17:00
Prediction: Quito FC (W) vs CD Espuce (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Quito FC (W)1.8
CD Espuce (W)1.44
1X2
Quito FC (W)
Draw
CD Espuce (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Quito FC (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
CD Espuce (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Quito FC (W)
1–2–0
CD Espuce (W)
(3 last)
- CD Espuce (W)1-2Quito FC (W)
- CD Espuce (W)1-1Quito FC (W)
- Quito FC (W)0-0CD Espuce (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quito FC (W) 1444 · CD Espuce (W) 1424
| Quito FC (W) | Draw | CD Espuce (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Quito FC (W) | CD Espuce (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.5 | 0.9 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 0/43/57% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quito FC (W) 1–2–0 CD Espuce (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Ecuador Primera Women | CD Espuce (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Quito FC (W) |
| 26/06/21 Ecuador Primera Women | CD Espuce (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Quito FC (W) |
| 13/05/21 Ecuador Primera Women | Quito FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Espuce (W) |
Standings · Ecuador Primera Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LDU Quito (W) | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 70 | 5 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 7 | 41 |
| 3 | Independiente del Valle (W) | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 62 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 11 | 31 |
| 5 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 31 | 26 |
| 6 | Carneras UPS (W) | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 23 |
| 7 | Macara (W) | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 40 | 14 |
| 8 | Emelec (W) | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 13 |
| 9 | Quito FC (W) | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 50 | 8 |
| 10 | CD Espuce (W) | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 5 |
| 11 | EL Nacional (W) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 4 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca Women | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Quito FC (W) | CD Espuce (W) |
|---|---|---|
| EL Nacional (W) | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Macara (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Carneras UPS (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 0-5 L | 0-5 L |
| Deportivo Ibarra (W) | 1-6 L | 1-2 L |
| LDU Quito (W) | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Quito FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quito FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | EL Nacional (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 26/05 | Emelec (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | LDU Quito (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | CD Espuce (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
CD Espuce (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | EL Nacional (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/06 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | LDU Quito (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Independiente del Valle (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Quito FC (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quito FC (W) vs CD Espuce (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Quito FC (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Quito FC (W) 45%, draw 25%, CD Espuce (W) 30%.
How many goals are expected in Quito FC (W) vs CD Espuce (W)?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Quito FC (W) 1.8 · CD Espuce (W) 1.44), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Quito FC (W) vs CD Espuce (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.