Football · England Southern Premier League South · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Hanworth Villa vs Taunton Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Hanworth Villa1.79

Taunton Town1.39

1X2

46% 25% 29%

Hanworth Villa Draw Taunton Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hanworth Villa 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLWWWW

Taunton Town 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDDWWWWWDL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hanworth Villa 1563 · Taunton Town 1529

	Hanworth Villa	Draw	Taunton Town
Our model	46%	25%	29%
Market	46%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hanworth Villa	Taunton Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.3	2.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:08 +42’	1.95	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Basingstoke	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bath City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Berkhamsted	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bracknell Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chertsey Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chichester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chippenham Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Evesham United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frome Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloucester	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gosport Borough	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hanwell Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hanworth Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Havant and W	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Malvern Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Plymouth Parkway	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Poole Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sholing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Taunton Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Uxbridge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wimborne Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yate Town	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hanworth Villa

WLDWWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Ashford Town (Middx) UK Friendlies	1-1	4-1	2	1	W
25/07	Welwyn Garden City UK Friendlies	3-1	5-2	2	1	W
21/07	Kingstonian UK Friendlies	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
18/07	Carshalton Ath UK Friendlies	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
04/07	Hampton & Richmond Club Friendly List	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
03/05	Westfield England Isthmian Division One South	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
29/04	Moneyfields England Isthmian Division One South	3-1	5-1	5	6	W
28/03	Ascot Utd England Isthmian Division One South	1-1	1-1	11	3	D
03/03	Bedfont Sports England Isthmian Division One South	0-1	2-3	10	6	L
07/02	Bognor Regis Town England Isthmian Division One South	1-0	1-0	12	4	W

Taunton Town

LDDWWWWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Weston Super Mare UK Friendlies	0-3	0-4	5	0	L
25/04	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
20/04	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
18/04	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/04	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/04	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/04	Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
28/03	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
21/03	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
14/03	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hanworth Villa vs Taunton Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hanworth Villa win (46%). Probabilities: Hanworth Villa 46%, draw 25%, Taunton Town 29%.

How many goals are expected in Hanworth Villa vs Taunton Town?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Hanworth Villa 1.79 · Taunton Town 1.39), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hanworth Villa vs Taunton Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.