Football · England Southern Premier League South · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Taunton Town vs Berkhamsted
Team pages: Taunton Town · Berkhamsted
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Taunton Town1.71
Berkhamsted1.44
1X2
Taunton Town
Draw
Berkhamsted
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Taunton Town
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Berkhamsted
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Taunton Town
0–2
Berkhamsted
(2 last)
- Berkhamsted3-2Taunton Town
- Taunton Town1-2Berkhamsted
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taunton Town 1524 · Berkhamsted 1488
| Taunton Town | Draw | Berkhamsted | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 25% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Berkhamsted: 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Taunton Town | Berkhamsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 33/11/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taunton Town 0–0–2 Berkhamsted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 England Southern Premier League South | Berkhamsted | 3-2 | Taunton Town |
| 22/11/25 England Southern Premier League South | Taunton Town | 1-2 | Berkhamsted |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frome Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Chertsey Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Hanwell Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Bath City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Yate Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Taunton Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Chichester City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Poole Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sholing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Berkhamsted | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Evesham United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 16 | Chippenham Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Malvern Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Gloucester | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Gosport Borough | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Basingstoke | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 | Wimborne Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Havant and W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taunton Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Weston Super Mare UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Berkhamsted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Cheshunt Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Hertford Town Club Friendly List |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | St Albans Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Real Bedford Club Friendly List |
1-4 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Chesham Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Bedford Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Ware UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 29/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taunton Town vs Berkhamsted?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Taunton Town win (43%). Probabilities: Taunton Town 43%, draw 25%, Berkhamsted 32%.
How many goals are expected in Taunton Town vs Berkhamsted?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Taunton Town 1.71 · Berkhamsted 1.44), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Taunton Town vs Berkhamsted?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.