Football · England Southern Premier League South · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Gosport Borough vs Uxbridge
Team pages: Gosport Borough · Uxbridge
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Gosport Borough1.49
Uxbridge1.69
1X2
Gosport Borough
Draw
Uxbridge
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gosport Borough
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Uxbridge
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gosport Borough
0–2
Uxbridge
(2 last)
- Gosport Borough1-2Uxbridge
- Uxbridge2-1Gosport Borough
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gosport Borough 1460 · Uxbridge 1556
| Gosport Borough | Draw | Uxbridge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uxbridge (rating 1460 vs 1556).
- H2H favours Uxbridge: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gosport Borough | Uxbridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.2 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 43/29/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gosport Borough 0–0–2 Uxbridge
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 1-2 | Uxbridge |
| 23/08/25 England Southern Premier League South | Uxbridge | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gosport Borough |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frome Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Chertsey Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Hanwell Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Bath City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Yate Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Taunton Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Chichester City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Poole Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sholing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Berkhamsted | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Evesham United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 16 | Chippenham Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Malvern Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Gloucester | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Gosport Borough | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Basingstoke | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 | Wimborne Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Havant and W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gosport Borough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Three Bridges Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-6 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 06/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Uxbridge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Slough Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Wingate & Finchley Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gosport Borough vs Uxbridge?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Uxbridge win (42%). Probabilities: Gosport Borough 33%, draw 25%, Uxbridge 42%.
How many goals are expected in Gosport Borough vs Uxbridge?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Gosport Borough 1.49 · Uxbridge 1.69), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Gosport Borough vs Uxbridge?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.