Football · England Southern Premier League South · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Havant and W vs Frome Town
Team pages: Havant and W · Frome Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Havant and W1.52
Frome Town1.52
1X2
Havant and W
Draw
Frome Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Havant and W
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Frome Town
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Havant and W
1–2–0
Frome Town
(3 last)
- Frome Town1-1Havant and W
- Frome Town1-1Havant and W
- Havant and W5-0Frome Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Havant and W 1449 · Frome Town 1603
| Havant and W | Draw | Frome Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frome Town (rating 1449 vs 1603).
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Havant and W | Frome Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.2 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/0/100% | 67/33/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.8 | 3.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Havant and W 1–2–0 Frome Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/25 England Southern Premier League South | Frome Town | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Havant and W |
| 05/10/24 England FA Trophy | Frome Town | 1-1 | Havant and W |
| 21/09/24 England Southern Premier League South | Havant and W | 5-0 | Frome Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frome Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Chertsey Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Hanwell Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Bath City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Yate Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Taunton Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Chichester City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Poole Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sholing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Berkhamsted | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Evesham United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 16 | Chippenham Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Malvern Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Gloucester | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Gosport Borough | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Basingstoke | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 | Wimborne Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Havant and W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Havant and W | Frome Town |
|---|---|---|
| Salisbury FC | 0-5 L | 3-0 W |
| Evesham United | 6-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Havant and W
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Salisbury FC UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Bognor Regis Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 06/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Hungerford Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
Frome Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Weymouth Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Salisbury FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Worthing Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Swindon Supermarine Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Buckland Athletic Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/07 | Radstock Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Didcot Town England Southern League Div One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/01 | Willand Rovers England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Havant and W vs Frome Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Havant and W win (37%). Probabilities: Havant and W 37%, draw 26%, Frome Town 37%.
How many goals are expected in Havant and W vs Frome Town?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Havant and W 1.52 · Frome Town 1.52), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Havant and W vs Frome Town?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.