Football · England Southern Premier League South · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Wimborne Town vs Gloucester

Team pages: Wimborne Town · Gloucester

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Wimborne Town1.4

Gloucester1.77

1X2

30% 25% 46%

Wimborne Town Draw Gloucester

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wimborne Town 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDLDLL

Gloucester 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Wimborne Town 0–3–2 Gloucester (5 last)

Gloucester5-0Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town2-2Gloucester
Wimborne Town1-1Gloucester
Gloucester2-2Wimborne Town
Gloucester1-0Wimborne Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wimborne Town 1453 · Gloucester 1509

	Wimborne Town	Draw	Gloucester
Our model	29%	25%	45%
Market	30%	25%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gloucester (rating 1453 vs 1509).
H2H favours Gloucester: 2-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wimborne Town	Gloucester
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	29/57/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	1 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.60

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:56 +9’	3.00	3.60	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wimborne Town 0–3–2 Gloucester

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	5-0	Wimborne Town
29/11/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	2-2	Gloucester
28/12/24 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	1-1	Gloucester
05/10/24 England FA Trophy	Gloucester	2-2	Wimborne Town
17/08/24 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	1-0	Wimborne Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frome Town	2	2	0	0	6	0	6
2	Chertsey Town	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Uxbridge	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	Hanworth Villa	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
5	Plymouth Parkway	2	1	1	0	8	1	4
6	Hanwell Town	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
7	Bath City	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
8	Yate Town	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
9	Taunton Town	2	1	0	1	5	4	3
10	Chichester City	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
10	Poole Town	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
10	Sholing	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
13	Berkhamsted	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
14	Evesham United	2	1	0	1	4	6	3
15	Bracknell Town	2	1	0	1	3	9	3
16	Chippenham Town	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
17	Malvern Town	2	0	1	1	4	7	1
18	Gloucester	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
19	Gosport Borough	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
20	Basingstoke	2	0	0	2	3	6	0
21	Wimborne Town	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
22	Havant and W	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wimborne Town	Gloucester
Bracknell Town	3-3 D	2-3 L
Poole Town	2-1 W	2-2 D
Farnham	0-1 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Wimborne Town (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wimborne Town

LWLWDDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/07	Maidenhead Utd Club Friendly List	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	Salisbury FC Club Friendly List	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
25/04	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
18/04	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
14/04	Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	6-0	–	–	W
11/04	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/04	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/04	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L

Gloucester

WDLWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
08/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
31/07	Weston Super Mare UK Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
25/07	Barry Town UK Friendlies	1-0	1-0	0	0	W
18/07	Haverfordwest County UK Friendlies	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
11/07	Newport County UK Friendlies	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
07/07	Bristol Manor Farm Club Friendly List	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
04/05	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	–	1-5	–	–	L
29/04	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	2-2	3	7	D
25/04	Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wimborne Town vs Gloucester?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gloucester win (46%). Probabilities: Wimborne Town 30%, draw 25%, Gloucester 46%.

How many goals are expected in Wimborne Town vs Gloucester?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Wimborne Town 1.4 · Gloucester 1.77), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wimborne Town vs Gloucester?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.