Prediction: Bracknell Town vs Malvern Town

Team pages: Bracknell Town · Malvern Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
Bracknell Town2.18
Malvern Town1.69
1X2
48% 24% 29%
Bracknell Town Draw Malvern Town
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bracknell Town 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLDLLWLW
Malvern Town 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDWDWLLDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bracknell Town 1483 · Malvern Town 1510
Bracknell TownDrawMalvern Town
Our model49%22%29%
Market47%25%28%
Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bracknell TownMalvern Town
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 2.61.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.30.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/50/25%22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)0 / 23.8 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 03.2 / 0.2

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Frome Town 2200 606
2 Chertsey Town 2200 516
3 Uxbridge 2200 406
4 Hanworth Villa 2200 306
5 Plymouth Parkway 2110 814
6 Hanwell Town 2110 434
7 Bath City 2110 324
8 Yate Town 2110 214
9 Taunton Town 2101 543
10 Chichester City 2101 223
10 Poole Town 2101 223
10 Sholing 2101 223
13 Berkhamsted 2101 343
14 Evesham United 2101 463
15 Bracknell Town 2101 393
16 Chippenham Town 2011 131
17 Malvern Town 2011 471
18 Gloucester 2002 240
19 Gosport Borough 2002 020
20 Basingstoke 2002 360
21 Wimborne Town 2002 030
22 Havant and W 2002 040

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bracknell Town

LWWLDLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Gloucester
England Southern Premier League South
1-1 3-2 15 W
08/08 Plymouth Parkway
England Southern Premier League South
0-7 L
04/08 Dorking Wanderers
UK Friendlies
1-0 5-0 W
11/07 Windsor & Eton
Club Friendly List
1-1 2-3 L
07/07 Walton & Hersham
UK Friendlies
0-3 1-6 30 L
25/04 Wimborne Town
England Southern Premier League South
3-3 D
18/04 Taunton Town
England Southern Premier League South
0-2 L
11/04 Tiverton Town
England Southern Premier League South
8-0 W
06/04 Farnham
England Southern Premier League South
3-1 W
03/04 Weymouth
England Southern Premier League South
1-2 L

Malvern Town

WWDWDWLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Taunton Town
England Southern Premier League South
1-1 2-5 111 L
08/08 Hanwell Town
England Southern Premier League South
2-2 D
01/08 Rushall Olympic
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-2 L
28/07 Bromsgrove
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-3 L
25/07 Stourbridge
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-1 W
10/07 Worcester City
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 30 D
04/05 Shaftesbury
England Southern League Div One
1-2 3-2 67 W
29/04 Bishops Cleeve
England Southern League Div One
0-0 1-1 104 D
25/03 Willand Rovers
England Southern League Div One
0-0 1-0 75 W
18/11 Brixham
England Southern League Div One
2-0 4-1 73 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bracknell Town vs Malvern Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bracknell Town win (48%). Probabilities: Bracknell Town 48%, draw 24%, Malvern Town 29%.

How many goals are expected in Bracknell Town vs Malvern Town?

The model expects 3.87 goals (Bracknell Town 2.18 · Malvern Town 1.69), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bracknell Town vs Malvern Town?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.