Football · England Southern Premier League South · 11/08, 20:45
Prediction: Taunton Town vs Malvern Town
Team pages: Taunton Town · Malvern Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Taunton Town1.63
Malvern Town1.29
1X2
Taunton Town
Draw
Malvern Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Taunton Town
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Malvern Town
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taunton Town 1524 · Malvern Town 1513
| Taunton Town | Draw | Malvern Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Taunton Town | Malvern Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 3.4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Evesham United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Berkhamsted | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Frome Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bath City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Poole Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Chertsey Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Hanwell Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Malvern Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Chichester City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Sholing | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Gloucester | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gosport Borough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Havant and W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Taunton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Wimborne Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Bracknell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taunton Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Weston Super Mare UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 21/03 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Malvern Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Rushall Olympic Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Bromsgrove Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Stourbridge Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Worcester City UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 04/05 | Shaftesbury England Southern League Div One |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | Bishops Cleeve England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 25/03 | Willand Rovers England Southern League Div One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/11 | Brixham England Southern League Div One |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds England FA Trophy |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taunton Town vs Malvern Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Taunton Town win (45%). Probabilities: Taunton Town 45%, draw 26%, Malvern Town 30%.
How many goals are expected in Taunton Town vs Malvern Town?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Taunton Town 1.63 · Malvern Town 1.29), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Taunton Town vs Malvern Town?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.