Football · Chile Primera B · 10/09, 01:30

Prediction: Deportes Iquique vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz

Team pages: Deportes Iquique · Club Deportes Santa Cruz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Deportes Iquique1.67

Club Deportes Santa Cruz1.01

1X2

52% 26% 22%

Deportes Iquique Draw Club Deportes Santa Cruz

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportes Iquique 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWDWLL

Club Deportes Santa Cruz 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLDWLLDD

Head-to-head

Deportes Iquique 3–2–1 Club Deportes Santa Cruz (6 last)

Club Deportes Santa Cruz2-2Deportes Iquique
Club Deportes Santa Cruz1-2Deportes Iquique
Deportes Iquique1-0Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Club Deportes Santa Cruz1-0Deportes Iquique
Deportes Iquique2-2Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Iquique6-1Club Deportes Santa Cruz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Iquique 1531 · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1470

	Deportes Iquique	Draw	Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Our model	52%	27%	22%
Market	52%	25%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Iquique (rating 1531 vs 1470).
H2H favours Deportes Iquique: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportes Iquique	Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.2	3.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	3.8 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:17 +25’	1.70	3.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Iquique 3–2–1 Club Deportes Santa Cruz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Chile Primera B	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	2-2 HT 2-1	Deportes Iquique
09/10/23 Chile Primera B	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	1-2 HT 1-1	Deportes Iquique
28/05/23 Chile Primera B	Deportes Iquique	1-0 HT 0-0	Club Deportes Santa Cruz
15/08/22 Chile Primera B	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportes Iquique
03/04/22 Chile Primera B	Deportes Iquique	2-2 HT 1-0	Club Deportes Santa Cruz
03/10/21 Chile Primera B	Deportes Iquique	6-1 HT 1-0	Club Deportes Santa Cruz

Standings · Chile Primera B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santiago Wanderers	23	12	8	3	40	22	44
2	Cobreloa	23	11	8	4	42	27	41
3	San Luis Quillota	23	10	8	5	36	28	38
4	CD Antofagasta	23	10	7	6	41	24	37
5	Magallanes	23	10	6	7	38	37	36
6	Union Espanola	23	10	5	8	30	29	35
7	Deportes Recoleta	23	9	7	7	34	32	34
8	Puerto Montt	23	10	4	9	25	27	34
9	San Marcos De Arica	23	8	9	6	27	21	33
10	Deportes Copiapo	23	8	6	9	32	37	30
11	Deportes Temuco	23	7	7	9	36	34	28
12	Deportes Iquique	23	5	10	8	31	28	25
13	Union San Felipe	23	5	7	11	15	37	22
14	Curico Unido	23	5	9	9	20	34	21
15	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	23	3	9	11	25	38	18
16	Rangers de Talca	23	3	6	14	20	37	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportes Iquique	Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Santiago Wanderers	0-1 L	1-3 L
San Luis Quillota	0-1 L	0-2 L
Puerto Montt	4-0 W	0-0 D
Deportes Copiapo	4-0 W	1-1 D
Cobreloa	1-1 D	2-4 L
Magallanes	3-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Iquique (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Iquique

LDWDDWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
30/08	San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
22/08	Puerto Montt Chile Primera B	2-0	4-0	2	6	W
17/08	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
14/08	Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B	1-0	4-0	0	2	W
08/08	Cobreloa Chile Primera B	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
01/08	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
25/07	Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
07/06	Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
31/05	Magallanes Chile Primera B	0-2	3-4	6	4	L

Club Deportes Santa Cruz

DWLLDWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Union Espanola Chile Primera B	0-1	1-1	3	8	D
29/08	Union San Felipe Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
22/08	Magallanes Chile Primera B	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
18/08	San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B	0-2	0-2	7	4	L
14/08	Curico Unido Chile Primera B	1-0	2-1	7	6	W
08/08	Puerto Montt Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
02/08	Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B	0-1	1-3	6	6	L
25/07	Cobreloa Chile Primera B	1-2	2-4	11	4	L
07/06	Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
02/06	Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B	1-0	1-1	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Iquique vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Iquique win (52%). Probabilities: Deportes Iquique 52%, draw 26%, Club Deportes Santa Cruz 22%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Iquique vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Deportes Iquique 1.67 · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Iquique vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.