Football · Chile Primera B · 15/09, 23:00
Prediction: San Luis Quillota vs CD Antofagasta
Team pages: San Luis Quillota · CD Antofagasta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
San Luis Quillota1.29
CD Antofagasta1.21
1X2
San Luis Quillota
Draw
CD Antofagasta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
San Luis Quillota
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
CD Antofagasta
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Luis Quillota
1–4–1
CD Antofagasta
(6 last)
- CD Antofagasta3-1San Luis Quillota
- CD Antofagasta1-2San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota0-0CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta1-1San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota2-2CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta1-1San Luis Quillota
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Luis Quillota 1553 · CD Antofagasta 1546
| San Luis Quillota | Draw | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Luis Quillota | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 2.2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis Quillota 1–4–1 CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 3-1 HT 2-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 13/07/25 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-2 HT 1-1 | San Luis Quillota |
| 23/02/25 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 11/08/24 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-1 HT 0-1 | San Luis Quillota |
| 31/03/24 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 2-2 HT 0-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 14/11/23 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 1-1 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 42 | 27 | 42 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 38 | 40 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 38 |
| 5 | San Luis Quillota | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 37 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 36 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 35 |
| 9 | Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 34 | 31 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 24 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 22 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 21 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 38 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Luis Quillota | CD Antofagasta |
|---|---|---|
| Cobreloa | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Iquique | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Santiago Wanderers | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Temuco | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Deportes Recoleta | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 18/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 17/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Luis Quillota vs CD Antofagasta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Luis Quillota win (38%). Probabilities: San Luis Quillota 38%, draw 28%, CD Antofagasta 34%.
How many goals are expected in San Luis Quillota vs CD Antofagasta?
The model expects 2.5 goals (San Luis Quillota 1.29 · CD Antofagasta 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in San Luis Quillota vs CD Antofagasta?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.