Football · Chile Primera B · 16/09, 01:30
Prediction: Union Espanola vs Deportes Temuco
Team pages: Union Espanola · Deportes Temuco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Union Espanola1.44
Deportes Temuco1.15
1X2
Union Espanola
Draw
Deportes Temuco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Espanola
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Deportes Temuco
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Espanola
4–1–1
Deportes Temuco
(6 last)
- Deportes Temuco0-1Union Espanola
- Union Espanola2-1Deportes Temuco
- Deportes Temuco2-0Union Espanola
- Union Espanola1-1Deportes Temuco
- Union Espanola5-2Deportes Temuco
- Deportes Temuco1-2Union Espanola
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Espanola 1491 · Deportes Temuco 1441
| Union Espanola | Draw | Deportes Temuco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Espanola (rating 1491 vs 1441).
- H2H favours Union Espanola: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Espanola | Deportes Temuco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola 4–1–1 Deportes Temuco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola |
| 20/10/18 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Temuco |
| 13/05/18 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Temuco | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Union Espanola |
| 27/11/17 Chile Apertura | Union Espanola | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportes Temuco |
| 20/02/17 Chile Clausura | Union Espanola | 5-2 HT 3-2 | Deportes Temuco |
| 02/10/16 Chile Apertura | Deportes Temuco | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 42 | 27 | 42 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 38 | 40 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 38 |
| 5 | San Luis Quillota | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 37 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 36 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 35 |
| 9 | Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 34 | 31 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 24 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 22 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 21 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 38 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Espanola | Deportes Temuco |
|---|---|---|
| Curico Unido | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Rangers de Talca | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Puerto Montt | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| CD Antofagasta | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Magallanes | 2-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Deportes Recoleta | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Temuco (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Espanola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Deportes Temuco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 18/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Espanola vs Deportes Temuco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Espanola win (43%). Probabilities: Union Espanola 43%, draw 27%, Deportes Temuco 29%.
How many goals are expected in Union Espanola vs Deportes Temuco?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Union Espanola 1.44 · Deportes Temuco 1.15), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Espanola vs Deportes Temuco?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.