Football · Chile Primera B · 13/09, 17:30
Prediction: Magallanes vs Puerto Montt
Team pages: Magallanes · Puerto Montt
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Magallanes1.51
Puerto Montt1.06
1X2
Magallanes
Draw
Puerto Montt
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Magallanes
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Puerto Montt
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Magallanes
2–1–3
Puerto Montt
(6 last)
- Puerto Montt2-0Magallanes
- Puerto Montt1-0Magallanes
- Magallanes2-0Puerto Montt
- Magallanes3-0Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt1-1Magallanes
- Puerto Montt1-0Magallanes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magallanes 1502 · Puerto Montt 1477
| Magallanes | Draw | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 48% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Puerto Montt: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.8 | 2.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes 2–1–3 Puerto Montt
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Magallanes |
| 03/07/22 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 16/02/22 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 16/09/21 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 10/05/21 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 17/01/21 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 42 | 27 | 42 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 38 | 40 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 38 |
| 5 | San Luis Quillota | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Recoleta | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 37 |
| 7 | San Marcos De Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 36 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 35 |
| 9 | Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 34 | 31 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 24 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 22 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 38 | 21 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 38 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Magallanes | Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Rangers de Talca | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Cobreloa | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Temuco | 4-3 W | 1-3 L |
| Union Espanola | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| CD Antofagasta | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Magallanes (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 07/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes vs Puerto Montt?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Magallanes win (47%). Probabilities: Magallanes 47%, draw 27%, Puerto Montt 26%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs Puerto Montt?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Magallanes 1.51 · Puerto Montt 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes vs Puerto Montt?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.