Football · Chile Primera B · 08/09, 23:00
Prediction: Puerto Montt vs Rangers de Talca
Team pages: Puerto Montt · Rangers de Talca
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Puerto Montt1.11
Rangers de Talca0.94
1X2
Puerto Montt
Draw
Rangers de Talca
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Montt
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Rangers de Talca
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Montt
4–1–1
Rangers de Talca
(6 last)
- Rangers de Talca0-1Puerto Montt
- Rangers de Talca3-1Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt1-0Rangers de Talca
- Rangers de Talca0-1Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt0-0Rangers de Talca
- Puerto Montt3-1Rangers de Talca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Montt 1489 · Rangers de Talca 1467
| Puerto Montt | Draw | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 33% | 29% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Puerto Montt: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puerto Montt | Rangers de Talca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.7 | 2.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.6 | 5.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Montt 4–1–1 Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 02/09/23 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 30/04/23 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 31/10/22 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 02/06/22 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 04/10/21 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Rangers de Talca |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 40 | 22 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 27 | 41 |
| 3 | San Luis Quillota | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 38 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 37 |
| 5 | Magallanes | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 37 | 36 |
| 6 | Union Espanola | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 35 |
| 7 | Deportes Recoleta | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 34 |
| 8 | Puerto Montt | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 34 |
| 9 | San Marcos De Arica | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 33 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 37 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 28 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 25 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 22 |
| 14 | Curico Unido | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 34 | 21 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 38 | 18 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 37 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Montt | Rangers de Talca |
|---|---|---|
| Curico Unido | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Temuco | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Union Espanola | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Cobreloa | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Puerto Montt (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
Rangers de Talca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 13/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Montt vs Rangers de Talca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Puerto Montt win (39%). Probabilities: Puerto Montt 39%, draw 30%, Rangers de Talca 31%.
How many goals are expected in Puerto Montt vs Rangers de Talca?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Puerto Montt 1.11 · Rangers de Talca 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Puerto Montt vs Rangers de Talca?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.