Football · Chile Primera B · 10/09, 01:30

Prediction: Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes

Team pages: Deportes Copiapo · Magallanes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Deportes Copiapo1.57

Magallanes1.44

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Deportes Copiapo Draw Magallanes

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportes Copiapo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDWDLWLLL

Magallanes 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDWWLD

Head-to-head

Deportes Copiapo 5–1–0 Magallanes (6 last)

Magallanes2-3Deportes Copiapo
Deportes Copiapo2-0Magallanes
Magallanes0-1Deportes Copiapo
Deportes Copiapo2-1Magallanes
Magallanes0-2Deportes Copiapo
Deportes Copiapo2-2Magallanes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Copiapo 1479 · Magallanes 1486

	Deportes Copiapo	Draw	Magallanes
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	39%	27%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportes Copiapo: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportes Copiapo	Magallanes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	1.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.5	4.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.30

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:41 +1’	2.25	3.30	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Copiapo 5–1–0 Magallanes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Chile Primera B	Magallanes	2-3 HT 0-1	Deportes Copiapo
19/10/25 Chile Primera B	Deportes Copiapo	2-0 HT 1-0	Magallanes
06/07/25 Chile Primera B	Magallanes	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportes Copiapo
08/10/23 Chile Liga de Primera	Deportes Copiapo	2-1 HT 1-1	Magallanes
23/04/23 Chile Liga de Primera	Magallanes	0-2 HT 0-2	Deportes Copiapo
21/10/22 Chile Primera B	Deportes Copiapo	2-2 HT 1-2	Magallanes

Standings · Chile Primera B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santiago Wanderers	23	12	8	3	40	22	44
2	Cobreloa	23	11	8	4	42	27	41
3	San Luis Quillota	23	10	8	5	36	28	38
4	CD Antofagasta	23	10	7	6	41	24	37
5	Magallanes	23	10	6	7	38	37	36
6	Union Espanola	23	10	5	8	30	29	35
7	Deportes Recoleta	23	9	7	7	34	32	34
8	Puerto Montt	23	10	4	9	25	27	34
9	San Marcos De Arica	23	8	9	6	27	21	33
10	Deportes Copiapo	23	8	6	9	32	37	30
11	Deportes Temuco	23	7	7	9	36	34	28
12	Deportes Iquique	23	5	10	8	31	28	25
13	Union San Felipe	23	5	7	11	15	37	22
14	Curico Unido	23	5	9	9	20	34	21
15	Club Deportes Santa Cruz	23	3	9	11	25	38	18
16	Rangers de Talca	23	3	6	14	20	37	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportes Copiapo	Magallanes
San Marcos De Arica	1-2 L	0-2 L
CD Antofagasta	0-4 L	0-0 D
Deportes Iquique	0-4 L	4-3 W
Deportes Temuco	4-1 W	4-3 W
Rangers de Talca	0-0 D	3-2 W
Santiago Wanderers	1-0 W	1-2 L
Club Deportes Santa Cruz	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Magallanes (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Copiapo

DWDWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	1-0	1-2	2	9	L
30/08	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
22/08	Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B	1-1	1-2	7	3	L
18/08	Curico Unido Chile Primera B	2-0	4-0	9	7	W
14/08	Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B	0-1	0-4	6	2	L
09/08	San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
04/08	Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B	1-1	4-1	9	3	W
26/07	Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
06/06	Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B	1-0	1-0	3	10	W
02/06	Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B	0-1	1-1	5	6	D

Magallanes

WDLWWDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Union San Felipe Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
29/08	Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
22/08	Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
15/08	Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B	1-2	3-2	3	8	W
12/08	Cobreloa Chile Primera B	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
09/08	Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B	1-2	4-3	5	2	W
02/08	Union Espanola Chile Primera B	2-1	3-2	9	4	W
26/07	San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B	0-1	0-2	3	12	L
07/06	CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
31/05	Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B	2-0	4-3	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Copiapo win (39%). Probabilities: Deportes Copiapo 39%, draw 27%, Magallanes 34%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Deportes Copiapo 1.57 · Magallanes 1.44), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Copiapo vs Magallanes?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.