Football · Chile Primera B · 09/09, 01:30
Prediction: Curico Unido vs Union Espanola
Team pages: Curico Unido · Union Espanola
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Curico Unido1.17
Union Espanola1.14
1X2
Curico Unido
Draw
Union Espanola
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Curico Unido
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Union Espanola
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Curico Unido
1–1–4
Union Espanola
(6 last)
- Union Espanola2-0Curico Unido
- Union Espanola2-2Curico Unido
- Curico Unido0-1Union Espanola
- Union Espanola1-3Curico Unido
- Curico Unido0-1Union Espanola
- Union Espanola2-1Curico Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Curico Unido 1485 · Union Espanola 1490
| Curico Unido | Draw | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Union Espanola: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Curico Unido | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.7 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Curico Unido 1–1–4 Union Espanola
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Chile Primera B | Union Espanola | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Curico Unido |
| 01/10/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Curico Unido |
| 18/04/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Curico Unido | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Union Espanola |
| 26/07/22 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Curico Unido |
| 28/02/22 Chile Liga de Primera | Curico Unido | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola |
| 16/10/21 Chile Liga de Primera | Union Espanola | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Curico Unido |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 40 | 22 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 27 | 41 |
| 3 | San Luis Quillota | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 38 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 37 |
| 5 | Magallanes | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 37 | 36 |
| 6 | Union Espanola | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 35 |
| 7 | Deportes Recoleta | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 34 |
| 8 | Puerto Montt | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 34 |
| 9 | San Marcos De Arica | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 33 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 37 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 28 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 25 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 22 |
| 14 | Curico Unido | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 34 | 21 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 38 | 18 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 37 | 15 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Curico Unido | Union Espanola |
|---|---|---|
| Puerto Montt | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Recoleta | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Union San Felipe | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Rangers de Talca | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Cobreloa | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| CD Antofagasta | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Espanola (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Curico Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Union Espanola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Curico Unido vs Union Espanola?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Curico Unido win (36%). Probabilities: Curico Unido 36%, draw 29%, Union Espanola 35%.
How many goals are expected in Curico Unido vs Union Espanola?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Curico Unido 1.17 · Union Espanola 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Curico Unido vs Union Espanola?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.