Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 28/07, 23:00
Prediction: 2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
2 de Mayo0.81
Cerro Porteno1.29
1X2
2 de Mayo
Draw
Cerro Porteno
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
2 de Mayo
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Cerro Porteno
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
2 de Mayo
0–4–2
Cerro Porteno
(6 last)
- Cerro Porteno3-02 de Mayo
- 2 de Mayo0-0Cerro Porteno
- 2 de Mayo0-0Cerro Porteno
- Cerro Porteno3-22 de Mayo
- Cerro Porteno1-12 de Mayo
- 2 de Mayo1-1Cerro Porteno
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · 2 de Mayo 1476 · Cerro Porteno 1518
| 2 de Mayo | Draw | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 31% | 47% |
| Market | 24% | 28% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cerro Porteno (rating 1476 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Cerro Porteno: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| 2 de Mayo | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.5 | 0.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · 2 de Mayo 0–4–2 Cerro Porteno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 3-0 HT 2-0 | 2 de Mayo |
| 08/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | 2 de Mayo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 11/10/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | 2 de Mayo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 30/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 3-2 HT 1-1 | 2 de Mayo |
| 25/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 1-1 HT 0-0 | 2 de Mayo |
| 23/03/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | 2 de Mayo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cerro Porteno |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | 2 de Mayo | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Rubio Nu | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Guarani Asuncion | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cerro Porteno (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
2 de Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/03 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Cerro Porteno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Sporting Cristal Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Palmeiras Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | Palmeiras Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
– | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in 2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cerro Porteno win (47%). Probabilities: 2 de Mayo 23%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 47%.
How many goals are expected in 2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno?
The model expects 2.1 goals (2 de Mayo 0.81 · Cerro Porteno 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in 2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.