Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 01/08, 23:30
Prediction: Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno
Team pages: Cerro Porteno · Sportivo Luqueno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Cerro Porteno1.68
Sportivo Luqueno0.86
1X2
Cerro Porteno
Draw
Sportivo Luqueno
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cerro Porteno
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Luqueno
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cerro Porteno
3–3–0
Sportivo Luqueno
(6 last)
- Sportivo Luqueno2-3Cerro Porteno
- Cerro Porteno2-0Sportivo Luqueno
- Sportivo Luqueno0-1Cerro Porteno
- Cerro Porteno0-0Sportivo Luqueno
- Cerro Porteno0-0Sportivo Luqueno
- Sportivo Luqueno1-1Cerro Porteno
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cerro Porteno (rating 1524 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Cerro Porteno: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerro Porteno | Sportivo Luqueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 3.6 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerro Porteno 3–3–0 Sportivo Luqueno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Luqueno | 2-3 HT 2-3 | Cerro Porteno |
| 03/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 27/09/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Luqueno | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 20/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 12/04/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 29/01/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Luqueno | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cerro Porteno |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerro Porteno | Sportivo Luqueno |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Trinidense | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Rubio Nu | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Guarani Asuncion | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerro Porteno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Sporting Cristal Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Palmeiras Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | Palmeiras Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Sportivo Luqueno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 11/04 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 05/04 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerro Porteno win (56%). Probabilities: Cerro Porteno 56%, draw 26%, Sportivo Luqueno 18%.
How many goals are expected in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Cerro Porteno 1.68 · Sportivo Luqueno 0.86), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.