Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 07/08, 23:30
Prediction: Rubio Nu vs Deportivo Recoleta
Team pages: Rubio Nu · Deportivo Recoleta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Rubio Nu1.32
Deportivo Recoleta1.06
1X2
Rubio Nu
Draw
Deportivo Recoleta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rubio Nu
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Recoleta
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rubio Nu
1–2–3
Deportivo Recoleta
(6 last)
- Deportivo Recoleta1-0Rubio Nu
- Rubio Nu1-1Deportivo Recoleta
- Deportivo Recoleta2-0Rubio Nu
- Rubio Nu2-2Deportivo Recoleta
- Deportivo Recoleta1-3Rubio Nu
- Rubio Nu0-2Deportivo Recoleta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rubio Nu 1451 · Deportivo Recoleta 1516
| Rubio Nu | Draw | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Recoleta (rating 1451 vs 1516).
- H2H favours Deportivo Recoleta: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rubio Nu | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 2.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rubio Nu 1–2–3 Deportivo Recoleta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Deportivo Recoleta | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rubio Nu |
| 30/01/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Rubio Nu | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Recoleta |
| 28/07/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Recoleta | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Rubio Nu |
| 19/04/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Rubio Nu | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Recoleta |
| 29/08/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Deportivo Recoleta | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Rubio Nu |
| 19/05/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Rubio Nu | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Recoleta |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rubio Nu | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Asuncion | 0-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Cerro Porteno | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Nacional Asuncion | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Libertad Asuncion | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rubio Nu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 24/07 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 27/04 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 21/04 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 12/04 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Deportivo Recoleta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 27/05 | San Lorenzo Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Copa Sudamericana |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/05 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Santos Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rubio Nu vs Deportivo Recoleta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rubio Nu win (42%). Probabilities: Rubio Nu 42%, draw 30%, Deportivo Recoleta 29%.
How many goals are expected in Rubio Nu vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Rubio Nu 1.32 · Deportivo Recoleta 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rubio Nu vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.