Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 29/07, 23:30
Prediction: Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Nacional Asuncion1.21
Olimpia Asuncion1.47
1X2
Nacional Asuncion
Draw
Olimpia Asuncion
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nacional Asuncion
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Olimpia Asuncion
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nacional Asuncion
2–2–2
Olimpia Asuncion
(6 last)
- Olimpia Asuncion3-0Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion1-2Olimpia Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion4-1Olimpia Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion1-1Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion1-1Olimpia Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion0-1Nacional Asuncion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nacional Asuncion 1544 · Olimpia Asuncion 1535
| Nacional Asuncion | Draw | Olimpia Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nacional Asuncion | Olimpia Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 3.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.7 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacional Asuncion 2–2–2 Olimpia Asuncion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 09/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 14/09/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 06/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 25/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 23/03/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nacional Asuncion |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nacional Asuncion | Olimpia Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Libertad Asuncion | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Nacional Asuncion (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nacional Asuncion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 7 | W |
| 21/04 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/04 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/03 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Olimpia Asuncion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Flamengo America Friendlies |
1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | Audax Italiano Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Vasco da Gama Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 15/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Barracas Central Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Vasco da Gama Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Asuncion win (42%). Probabilities: Nacional Asuncion 30%, draw 28%, Olimpia Asuncion 42%.
How many goals are expected in Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Nacional Asuncion 1.21 · Olimpia Asuncion 1.47), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.