Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 08/08, 21:00
Prediction: Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno
Team pages: Sportivo Ameliano · Cerro Porteno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Sportivo Ameliano0.89
Cerro Porteno1.12
1X2
Sportivo Ameliano
Draw
Cerro Porteno
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Ameliano
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Cerro Porteno
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Ameliano
0–2–4
Cerro Porteno
(6 last)
- Cerro Porteno1-1Sportivo Ameliano
- Sportivo Ameliano0-1Cerro Porteno
- Cerro Porteno2-0Sportivo Ameliano
- Sportivo Ameliano0-1Cerro Porteno
- Sportivo Ameliano0-0Cerro Porteno
- Cerro Porteno2-0Sportivo Ameliano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Ameliano 1478 · Cerro Porteno 1520
| Sportivo Ameliano | Draw | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 33% | 39% |
| Market | 29% | 30% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cerro Porteno (rating 1478 vs 1520).
- H2H favours Cerro Porteno: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Ameliano | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 0.7 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Ameliano 0–2–4 Cerro Porteno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 25/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Ameliano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 21/09/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 12/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Ameliano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 22/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Ameliano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 16/03/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Ameliano |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Ameliano | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| 2 de Mayo | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Rubio Nu | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Guarani Asuncion | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Ameliano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 21/04 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/04 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Cerro Porteno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/07 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Sporting Cristal Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Palmeiras Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | Palmeiras Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cerro Porteno win (40%). Probabilities: Sportivo Ameliano 28%, draw 31%, Cerro Porteno 40%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Sportivo Ameliano 0.89 · Cerro Porteno 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.