Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 30/07, 21:00
Prediction: Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Guarani Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Sportivo San Lorenzo0.82
Guarani Asuncion1.37
1X2
Sportivo San Lorenzo
Draw
Guarani Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo San Lorenzo
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Guarani Asuncion
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo San Lorenzo
1–3–2
Guarani Asuncion
(6 last)
- Sportivo San Lorenzo1-0Guarani Asuncion
- Guarani Asuncion3-1Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Guarani Asuncion2-1Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo1-1Guarani Asuncion
- Guarani Asuncion0-0Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo0-0Guarani Asuncion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo San Lorenzo 1471 · Guarani Asuncion 1500
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | Draw | Guarani Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 30% | 49% |
| Market | 22% | 28% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Guarani Asuncion: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | Guarani Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo San Lorenzo 1–3–2 Guarani Asuncion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 13/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 17/11/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 10/08/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 17/01/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 10/11/19 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo San Lorenzo | Guarani Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Recoleta | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| 2 de Mayo | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Libertad Asuncion | 0-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Rubio Nu | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo San Lorenzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 22/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/04 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/04 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/04 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Guarani Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 11/04 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 01/04 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Guarani Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guarani Asuncion win (49%). Probabilities: Sportivo San Lorenzo 22%, draw 29%, Guarani Asuncion 49%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Guarani Asuncion?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Sportivo San Lorenzo 0.82 · Guarani Asuncion 1.37), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Guarani Asuncion?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.