Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 10/08, 23:30
Prediction: Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
Team pages: Libertad Asuncion · Sportivo Trinidense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Libertad Asuncion1.32
Sportivo Trinidense1.05
1X2
Libertad Asuncion
Draw
Sportivo Trinidense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Libertad Asuncion
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Trinidense
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Libertad Asuncion
1–4–1
Sportivo Trinidense
(6 last)
- Libertad Asuncion1-1Sportivo Trinidense
- Sportivo Trinidense1-0Libertad Asuncion
- Libertad Asuncion0-0Sportivo Trinidense
- Sportivo Trinidense0-2Libertad Asuncion
- Libertad Asuncion1-1Sportivo Trinidense
- Sportivo Trinidense1-1Libertad Asuncion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Libertad Asuncion 1490 · Sportivo Trinidense 1558
| Libertad Asuncion | Draw | Sportivo Trinidense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Trinidense (rating 1490 vs 1558).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Libertad Asuncion | Sportivo Trinidense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Libertad Asuncion 1–4–1 Sportivo Trinidense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 15/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Trinidense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Libertad Asuncion |
| 06/10/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 26/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Trinidense | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Libertad Asuncion |
| 18/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 09/03/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Trinidense | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Libertad Asuncion |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Libertad Asuncion | Sportivo Trinidense |
|---|---|---|
| Nacional Asuncion | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| 2 de Mayo | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 5-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Libertad Asuncion (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Libertad Asuncion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/05 | UCV Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Independiente del Valle Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/05 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Rosario Central Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
Sportivo Trinidense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 29/07 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/04 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Libertad Asuncion win (41%). Probabilities: Libertad Asuncion 41%, draw 31%, Sportivo Trinidense 28%.
How many goals are expected in Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Libertad Asuncion 1.32 · Sportivo Trinidense 1.05), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.