Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 16/08, 21:00
Prediction: Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion
Team pages: Sportivo Luqueno · Libertad Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Sportivo Luqueno1.15
Libertad Asuncion1.52
1X2
Sportivo Luqueno
Draw
Libertad Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Luqueno
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Libertad Asuncion
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Luqueno
2–4
Libertad Asuncion
(6 last)
- Sportivo Luqueno2-3Libertad Asuncion
- Libertad Asuncion1-0Sportivo Luqueno
- Sportivo Luqueno1-4Libertad Asuncion
- Libertad Asuncion0-1Sportivo Luqueno
- Sportivo Luqueno1-0Libertad Asuncion
- Libertad Asuncion3-0Sportivo Luqueno
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Luqueno 1460 · Libertad Asuncion 1521
| Sportivo Luqueno | Draw | Libertad Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 28% | 45% |
| Market | 27% | 28% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Libertad Asuncion (rating 1460 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Libertad Asuncion: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Luqueno | Libertad Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.7 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Luqueno 2–0–4 Libertad Asuncion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Luqueno | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Libertad Asuncion |
| 08/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 14/09/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Luqueno | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Libertad Asuncion |
| 05/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Luqueno |
| 12/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Luqueno | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Libertad Asuncion |
| 01/03/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Luqueno |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Luqueno | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Trinidense | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Guarani Asuncion | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Libertad Asuncion (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Luqueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/07 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 10 | L |
Libertad Asuncion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/05 | UCV Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Independiente del Valle Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/05 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | Rosario Central Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Libertad Asuncion win (45%). Probabilities: Sportivo Luqueno 27%, draw 28%, Libertad Asuncion 45%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Sportivo Luqueno 1.15 · Libertad Asuncion 1.52), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.