Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 25/08, 23:30
Prediction: 2 de Mayo vs Guarani Asuncion
Team pages: 2 de Mayo · Guarani Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
2 de Mayo1
Guarani Asuncion1.07
1X2
2 de Mayo
Draw
Guarani Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
2 de Mayo
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Guarani Asuncion
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
2 de Mayo
3–2–1
Guarani Asuncion
(6 last)
- 2 de Mayo2-2Guarani Asuncion
- Guarani Asuncion1-12 de Mayo
- 2 de Mayo1-0Guarani Asuncion
- 2 de Mayo1-0Guarani Asuncion
- Guarani Asuncion3-12 de Mayo
- Guarani Asuncion0-12 de Mayo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · 2 de Mayo 1579 · Guarani Asuncion 1462
| 2 de Mayo | Draw | Guarani Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 33% | 35% |
| Market | 33% | 30% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 2 de Mayo (rating 1579 vs 1462).
- H2H favours 2 de Mayo: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| 2 de Mayo | Guarani Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.9 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · 2 de Mayo 3–2–1 Guarani Asuncion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | 2 de Mayo | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 25/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 1-1 HT 1-0 | 2 de Mayo |
| 06/11/25 Paraguay Cup | 2 de Mayo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 13/09/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | 2 de Mayo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 06/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 3-1 HT 1-0 | 2 de Mayo |
| 16/04/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 0-1 HT 0-1 | 2 de Mayo |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | 2 de Mayo | Guarani Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Recoleta | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Cerro Porteno | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Rubio Nu | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Libertad Asuncion | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
2 de Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
Guarani Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/07 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in 2 de Mayo vs Guarani Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guarani Asuncion win (36%). Probabilities: 2 de Mayo 33%, draw 31%, Guarani Asuncion 36%.
How many goals are expected in 2 de Mayo vs Guarani Asuncion?
The model expects 2.07 goals (2 de Mayo 1 · Guarani Asuncion 1.07), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in 2 de Mayo vs Guarani Asuncion?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.