Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 23/08, 21:00
Prediction: Olimpia Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
Team pages: Olimpia Asuncion · Cerro Porteno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Olimpia Asuncion1.37
Cerro Porteno1.03
1X2
Olimpia Asuncion
Draw
Cerro Porteno
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpia Asuncion
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Cerro Porteno
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpia Asuncion
4–1–1
Cerro Porteno
(6 last)
- Olimpia Asuncion3-0Cerro Porteno
- Cerro Porteno0-1Olimpia Asuncion
- Cerro Porteno1-1Olimpia Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion2-3Cerro Porteno
- Cerro Porteno1-2Olimpia Asuncion
- Olimpia Asuncion2-1Cerro Porteno
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olimpia Asuncion 1503 · Cerro Porteno 1470
| Olimpia Asuncion | Draw | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Olimpia Asuncion: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olimpia Asuncion | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.3 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Asuncion 4–1–1 Cerro Porteno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 3-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 21/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 19/10/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 03/08/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 03/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Olimpia Asuncion |
| 23/02/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Olimpia Asuncion | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Cerro Porteno |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olimpia Asuncion | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Ameliano | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| 2 de Mayo | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Rubio Nu | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpia Asuncion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 11 | L |
Cerro Porteno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/07 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpia Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpia Asuncion win (43%). Probabilities: Olimpia Asuncion 43%, draw 30%, Cerro Porteno 27%.
How many goals are expected in Olimpia Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Olimpia Asuncion 1.37 · Cerro Porteno 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Olimpia Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.