Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 15/08, 23:30
Prediction: Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
Team pages: Sportivo Trinidense · Nacional Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Sportivo Trinidense1.08
Nacional Asuncion1.1
1X2
Sportivo Trinidense
Draw
Nacional Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Trinidense
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Nacional Asuncion
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Trinidense
1–3–2
Nacional Asuncion
(6 last)
- Nacional Asuncion2-1Sportivo Trinidense
- Sportivo Trinidense1-1Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion0-0Sportivo Trinidense
- Sportivo Trinidense0-0Nacional Asuncion
- Sportivo Trinidense0-2Nacional Asuncion
- Sportivo Trinidense2-0Nacional Asuncion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Trinidense 1523 · Nacional Asuncion 1558
| Sportivo Trinidense | Draw | Nacional Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Market | 35% | 30% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nacional Asuncion: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Trinidense | Nacional Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Trinidense 1–3–2 Nacional Asuncion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 09/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Trinidense | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 01/11/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Trinidense |
| 03/10/25 Paraguay Cup | Sportivo Trinidense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 17/08/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Trinidense | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 21/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo Trinidense | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Nacional Asuncion |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Trinidense | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asuncion | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Trinidense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 29/07 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Nacional Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 7 | W |
| 21/04 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nacional Asuncion win (35%). Probabilities: Sportivo Trinidense 34%, draw 31%, Nacional Asuncion 35%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Sportivo Trinidense 1.08 · Nacional Asuncion 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.