Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 03/10, 21:30
Prediction: Guarani Asuncion vs Sportivo San Lorenzo
Team pages: Guarani Asuncion · Sportivo San Lorenzo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Guarani Asuncion1.78
Sportivo San Lorenzo0.5
1X2
Guarani Asuncion
Draw
Sportivo San Lorenzo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Guarani Asuncion
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Sportivo San Lorenzo
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guarani Asuncion
3–2–1
Sportivo San Lorenzo
(6 last)
- Sportivo San Lorenzo0-1Guarani Asuncion
- Sportivo San Lorenzo1-0Guarani Asuncion
- Guarani Asuncion3-1Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Guarani Asuncion2-1Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo1-1Guarani Asuncion
- Guarani Asuncion0-0Sportivo San Lorenzo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guarani Asuncion (rating 1540 vs 1403).
- H2H favours Guarani Asuncion: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guarani Asuncion | Sportivo San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.9 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guarani Asuncion 3–2–1 Sportivo San Lorenzo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 11/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 13/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 17/11/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 10/08/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 17/01/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guarani Asuncion | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueno | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Cerro Porteno | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| 2 de Mayo | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Rubio Nu | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Nacional Asuncion | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Libertad Asuncion | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 5 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 9 L |
Better against common opponents: Guarani Asuncion (9 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guarani Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/09 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Sportivo San Lorenzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 28/08 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/07 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guarani Asuncion vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guarani Asuncion win (68%). Probabilities: Guarani Asuncion 68%, draw 23%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 9%.
How many goals are expected in Guarani Asuncion vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Guarani Asuncion 1.78 · Sportivo San Lorenzo 0.5), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Guarani Asuncion vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.