Football · England Southern Premier League South · 20/10, 20:30

Prediction: Wimborne Town vs Gosport Borough

Team pages: Wimborne Town · Gosport Borough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Wimborne Town1.51

Gosport Borough1.14

1X2

45% 26% 28%

Wimborne Town Draw Gosport Borough

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wimborne Town 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Gosport Borough 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wimborne Town 3–1–2 Gosport Borough (6 last)

Wimborne Town1-0Gosport Borough
Gosport Borough1-0Wimborne Town
Gosport Borough1-1Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town1-0Gosport Borough
Wimborne Town2-1Gosport Borough
Gosport Borough2-0Wimborne Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wimborne Town 1564 · Gosport Borough 1533

	Wimborne Town	Draw	Gosport Borough
Our model	45%	28%	27%
Market	46%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wimborne Town: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wimborne Town	Gosport Borough
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.9	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	25/75/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 4	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:30 +7’	1.95	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wimborne Town 3–1–2 Gosport Borough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/11/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	1-0	Gosport Borough
10/09/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	1-0 HT 0-0	Wimborne Town
29/03/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	1-1 HT 0-0	Wimborne Town
24/09/24 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	1-0	Gosport Borough
18/12/21 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	2-1	Gosport Borough
01/12/21 England Southern Premier League South	Gosport Borough	2-0	Wimborne Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26	12	23
3	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
4	Hanworth Villa	12	7	2	3	24	14	23
5	Bath City	12	7	2	3	18	10	23
6	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
7	Chichester City	12	6	1	5	20	20	19
8	Gosport Borough	12	5	3	4	19	14	18
9	Chertsey Town	11	4	4	3	23	18	16
10	Taunton Town	11	5	1	5	28	25	16
11	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
12	Wimborne Town	10	4	3	3	17	9	15
13	Bracknell Town	12	4	2	6	13	23	14
14	Evesham United	12	4	1	7	15	24	13
15	Basingstoke	12	3	3	6	19	25	12
16	Yate Town	11	3	3	5	15	24	12
17	Sholing	10	3	2	5	12	16	11
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	12	3	2	7	19	31	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	12	2	3	7	18	25	9
22	Chippenham Town	11	2	2	7	10	24	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wimborne Town	Gosport Borough
Bracknell Town	2-0 W	1-1 D
Uxbridge	0-0 D	1-1 D
Malvern Town	3-0 W	4-2 W
Frome Town	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Wimborne Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wimborne Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
10/10	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	6-3	–	–	W
29/09	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
29/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L

Gosport Borough

DWWLWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	3-0	4-0	3	6	W
10/10	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
07/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	1-3	3	1	L
30/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
19/09	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	4-2	7	1	W
22/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wimborne Town vs Gosport Borough?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wimborne Town win (45%). Probabilities: Wimborne Town 45%, draw 26%, Gosport Borough 28%.

How many goals are expected in Wimborne Town vs Gosport Borough?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Wimborne Town 1.51 · Gosport Borough 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wimborne Town vs Gosport Borough?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.