Football · England Southern Premier League South · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Chichester City vs Poole Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Chichester City1.23
Poole Town1.63
1X2
Chichester City
Draw
Poole Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chichester City
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Poole Town
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chichester City 1521 · Poole Town 1529
| Chichester City | Draw | Poole Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 27% | 46% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chichester City | Poole Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0 |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Basingstoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bath City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Berkhamsted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bracknell Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chichester City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chippenham Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Evesham United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Frome Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gloucester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gosport Borough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hanwell Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hanworth Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Havant and W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Malvern Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Poole Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sholing | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Taunton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Uxbridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wimborne Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yate Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chichester City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Bognor Regis Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Aylesbury United Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Christchurch Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Dartford England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Potters Bar Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | Cray Valley Paper Mills England Isthmian Premier Division |
0-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Poole Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Eastleigh Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/03 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/03 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chichester City vs Poole Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Poole Town win (46%). Probabilities: Chichester City 28%, draw 26%, Poole Town 46%.
How many goals are expected in Chichester City vs Poole Town?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Chichester City 1.23 · Poole Town 1.63), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chichester City vs Poole Town?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.