Football · England Southern Premier League South · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Havant and W vs Gloucester

Team pages: Havant and W · Gloucester

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Havant and W1.42

Gloucester1.69

1X2

32% 25% 43%

Havant and W Draw Gloucester

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Havant and W 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLLLWL

Gloucester 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLLLDW

Head-to-head

Havant and W 3–3 Gloucester (6 last)

Havant and W3-0Gloucester
Gloucester3-2Havant and W
Gloucester1-0Havant and W
Havant and W4-0Gloucester
Gloucester2-1Havant and W
Havant and W2-1Gloucester

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Havant and W 1455 · Gloucester 1523

	Havant and W	Draw	Gloucester
Our model	31%	26%	43%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gloucester (rating 1455 vs 1523).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Havant and W	Gloucester
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1.5	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	1.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:48 +11’	2.80	3.60	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Havant and W 3–0–3 Gloucester

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 England Southern Premier League South	Havant and W	3-0	Gloucester
08/11/25 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	3-2	Havant and W
25/10/25 England FA Trophy	Gloucester	1-0	Havant and W
22/03/25 England Southern Premier League South	Havant and W	4-0	Gloucester
12/10/24 England Southern Premier League South	Gloucester	2-1 HT 0-1	Havant and W
27/02/18 England National League South	Havant and W	2-1 HT 0-0	Gloucester

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chertsey Town	4	3	1	0	10	4	10
2	Uxbridge	4	3	1	0	10	5	10
3	Hanworth Villa	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
4	Bath City	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
4	Yate Town	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
6	Plymouth Parkway	4	2	1	1	12	5	7
7	Frome Town	4	2	0	2	7	3	6
8	Taunton Town	4	2	0	2	11	10	6
9	Chichester City	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
10	Poole Town	4	2	0	2	5	6	6
11	Evesham United	4	2	0	2	8	10	6
12	Hanwell Town	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
13	Wimborne Town	4	1	1	2	4	4	4
14	Basingstoke	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
15	Gloucester	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
16	Gosport Borough	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
17	Sholing	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
18	Chippenham Town	4	1	1	2	4	9	4
19	Bracknell Town	4	1	1	2	4	11	4
20	Berkhamsted	4	1	0	3	6	9	3
21	Havant and W	4	1	0	3	2	6	3
22	Malvern Town	4	0	2	2	4	10	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Havant and W	Gloucester
Yate Town	1-3 L	1-2 L
Poole Town	0-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gloucester (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Havant and W

WWWDLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
11/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
08/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
25/04	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
18/04	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/04	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
06/04	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
03/04	Hungerford Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
28/03	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	6-1	–	–	W

Gloucester

LWLWDLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
08/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
04/05	Farnham England Southern Premier League South	–	1-5	–	–	L
29/04	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	2-2	3	7	D
25/04	Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	Dorchester England Southern Premier League South	–	5-0	–	–	W
06/04	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Havant and W vs Gloucester?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gloucester win (43%). Probabilities: Havant and W 32%, draw 25%, Gloucester 43%.

How many goals are expected in Havant and W vs Gloucester?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Havant and W 1.42 · Gloucester 1.69), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Havant and W vs Gloucester?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.