Football · England Southern Premier League South · 31/08, 16:00

Prediction: Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town

Team pages: Plymouth Parkway · Poole Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Plymouth Parkway1.8

Poole Town1.66

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Plymouth Parkway Draw Poole Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Plymouth Parkway 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWDLWW

Poole Town 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWLLWW

Head-to-head

Plymouth Parkway 1–2–3 Poole Town (6 last)

Poole Town7-0Plymouth Parkway
Plymouth Parkway1-1Poole Town
Plymouth Parkway0-1Poole Town
Plymouth Parkway3-1Poole Town
Poole Town3-1Plymouth Parkway
Poole Town2-2Plymouth Parkway

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plymouth Parkway 1542 · Poole Town 1543

	Plymouth Parkway	Draw	Poole Town
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Poole Town: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plymouth Parkway	Poole Town
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0	1.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	100/0/0%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3	1.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:51 +8’	2.25	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Plymouth Parkway 1–2–3 Poole Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/01/26 England Southern Premier League South	Poole Town	7-0	Plymouth Parkway
25/10/25 England FA Trophy	Plymouth Parkway	1-1 HT 0-1	Poole Town
25/08/25 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	0-1	Poole Town
29/03/25 England Southern Premier League South	Plymouth Parkway	3-1	Poole Town
24/09/24 England Southern Premier League South	Poole Town	3-1	Plymouth Parkway
16/04/24 England Southern Premier League South	Poole Town	2-2	Plymouth Parkway

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uxbridge	5	4	1	0	12	6	13
2	Plymouth Parkway	5	3	1	1	15	6	10
3	Chertsey Town	5	3	1	1	11	6	10
4	Hanworth Villa	5	3	1	1	7	2	10
5	Frome Town	5	3	0	2	9	4	9
6	Chichester City	5	3	0	2	8	5	9
7	Taunton Town	5	3	0	2	15	13	9
8	Poole Town	5	3	0	2	7	7	9
9	Bath City	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
9	Yate Town	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
11	Gosport Borough	5	2	1	2	7	6	7
12	Bracknell Town	5	2	1	2	7	12	7
13	Berkhamsted	5	2	0	3	8	10	6
14	Evesham United	5	2	0	3	9	13	6
15	Wimborne Town	5	1	2	2	4	4	5
16	Gloucester	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
17	Hanwell Town	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
18	Basingstoke	5	1	1	3	9	11	4
19	Havant and W	5	1	1	3	5	9	4
19	Sholing	5	1	1	3	5	9	4
21	Chippenham Town	5	1	1	3	5	11	4
22	Malvern Town	5	0	2	3	6	14	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plymouth Parkway	Poole Town
Havant and W	2-1 W	2-0 W
Basingstoke	3-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plymouth Parkway

WWDWWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
08/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	7-0	–	–	W
25/04	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	6-3	–	–	W
18/04	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/04	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
06/04	Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
03/04	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	2-0	3-0	4	3	W

Poole Town

LWWDDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
29/04	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	1-1	2-2	5	7	D
25/04	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	2-1	3-3	2	0	D
18/04	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/04	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/04	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plymouth Parkway win (40%). Probabilities: Plymouth Parkway 40%, draw 25%, Poole Town 35%.

How many goals are expected in Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Plymouth Parkway 1.8 · Poole Town 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.