Football · England Southern Premier League South · 31/08, 16:00
Prediction: Yate Town vs Taunton Town
Team pages: Yate Town · Taunton Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Yate Town1.68
Taunton Town1.43
1X2
Yate Town
Draw
Taunton Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Yate Town
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Taunton Town
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yate Town
2–1–3
Taunton Town
(6 last)
- Yate Town1-2Taunton Town
- Taunton Town2-1Yate Town
- Taunton Town2-1Yate Town
- Yate Town0-0Taunton Town
- Yate Town4-1Taunton Town
- Taunton Town0-4Yate Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yate Town 1538 · Taunton Town 1542
| Yate Town | Draw | Taunton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Taunton Town: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yate Town | Taunton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 0/67/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 1 | 1.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yate Town 2–1–3 Taunton Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 England Southern Premier League South | Yate Town | 1-2 | Taunton Town |
| 13/08/25 England Southern Premier League South | Taunton Town | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Yate Town |
| 12/04/22 England Southern Premier League South | Taunton Town | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Yate Town |
| 13/11/21 England Southern Premier League South | Yate Town | 0-0 | Taunton Town |
| 11/01/20 England Southern Premier League South | Yate Town | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Taunton Town |
| 14/08/19 England Southern Premier League South | Taunton Town | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Yate Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Chertsey Town | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Frome Town | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Taunton Town | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 9 |
| 8 | Poole Town | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | Bath City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Berkhamsted | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Evesham United | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 15 | Wimborne Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 | Gloucester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Hanwell Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Basingstoke | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 19 | Havant and W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 19 | Sholing | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 21 | Chippenham Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yate Town | Taunton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Bracknell Town | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Gloucester | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Evesham United | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Taunton Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yate Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/08 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 06/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Taunton Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-5 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yate Town vs Taunton Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yate Town win (43%). Probabilities: Yate Town 43%, draw 25%, Taunton Town 32%.
How many goals are expected in Yate Town vs Taunton Town?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Yate Town 1.68 · Taunton Town 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Yate Town vs Taunton Town?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.