Football · England Southern Premier League South · 31/08, 16:00
Prediction: Berkhamsted vs Hanwell Town
Team pages: Berkhamsted · Hanwell Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Berkhamsted1.61
Hanwell Town1.2
1X2
Berkhamsted
Draw
Hanwell Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Berkhamsted
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Hanwell Town
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Berkhamsted
0–2–1
Hanwell Town
(3 last)
- Berkhamsted2-3Hanwell Town
- Hanwell Town1-1Berkhamsted
- Hanwell Town1-1Berkhamsted
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Berkhamsted 1452 · Hanwell Town 1485
| Berkhamsted | Draw | Hanwell Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Berkhamsted | Hanwell Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/0/67% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 3.7 | 3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Berkhamsted 0–2–1 Hanwell Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 England Southern Premier League South | Berkhamsted | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Hanwell Town |
| 25/08/25 England Southern Premier League South | Hanwell Town | 1-1 | Berkhamsted |
| 05/10/24 England FA Trophy | Hanwell Town | 1-1 | Berkhamsted |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Chertsey Town | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Frome Town | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Taunton Town | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 9 |
| 8 | Poole Town | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | Bath City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Berkhamsted | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Evesham United | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 15 | Wimborne Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 | Gloucester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Hanwell Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Basingstoke | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 19 | Havant and W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 19 | Sholing | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 21 | Chippenham Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Berkhamsted | Hanwell Town |
|---|---|---|
| Farnham | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Weymouth | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Hanwell Town (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Berkhamsted
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Weymouth England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Hungerford Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Hanwell Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Chichester City England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/04 | Farnham England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Weymouth England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Berkhamsted vs Hanwell Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Berkhamsted win (46%). Probabilities: Berkhamsted 46%, draw 27%, Hanwell Town 27%.
How many goals are expected in Berkhamsted vs Hanwell Town?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Berkhamsted 1.61 · Hanwell Town 1.2), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Berkhamsted vs Hanwell Town?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.