Football · England Southern Premier League South · 31/08, 16:00
Prediction: Uxbridge vs Wimborne Town
Team pages: Uxbridge · Wimborne Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Uxbridge1.85
Wimborne Town1.33
1X2
Uxbridge
Draw
Wimborne Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Uxbridge
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Wimborne Town
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Uxbridge
0–2–0
Wimborne Town
(2 last)
- Uxbridge3-3Wimborne Town
- Wimborne Town2-2Uxbridge
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Uxbridge 1576 · Wimborne Town 1494
| Uxbridge | Draw | Wimborne Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 25% | 27% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uxbridge (rating 1576 vs 1494).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Uxbridge | Wimborne Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | – / – |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | //% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.8 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.2 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Uxbridge 0–2–0 Wimborne Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 England Southern Premier League South | Uxbridge | 3-3 | Wimborne Town |
| 16/08/25 England Southern Premier League South | Wimborne Town | 2-2 | Uxbridge |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Chertsey Town | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Frome Town | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Taunton Town | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 9 |
| 8 | Poole Town | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | Bath City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Yate Town | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Berkhamsted | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Evesham United | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 15 | Wimborne Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 | Gloucester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Hanwell Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Basingstoke | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 19 | Havant and W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 19 | Sholing | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 21 | Chippenham Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Uxbridge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Bath City England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 5-4 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Walton & Hersham England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Wimborne Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Chichester City England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Uxbridge vs Wimborne Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Uxbridge win (49%). Probabilities: Uxbridge 49%, draw 25%, Wimborne Town 26%.
How many goals are expected in Uxbridge vs Wimborne Town?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Uxbridge 1.85 · Wimborne Town 1.33), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Uxbridge vs Wimborne Town?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.