Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley

Team pages: Dartford · Wingate & Finchley

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Dartford2

Wingate & Finchley1.09

1X2

58% 22% 20%

Dartford Draw Wingate & Finchley

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Dartford 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Wingate & Finchley 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dartford 1–2 Wingate & Finchley (3 last)

Wingate & Finchley3-1Dartford
Wingate & Finchley1-2Dartford
Dartford2-3Wingate & Finchley

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dartford 1561 · Wingate & Finchley 1533

	Dartford	Draw	Wingate & Finchley
Our model	58%	23%	19%
Market	58%	22%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wingate & Finchley: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dartford	Wingate & Finchley
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/50/17%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	1 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	2.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.10

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +11’	1.53	4.10	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dartford 1–0–2 Wingate & Finchley

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 England Isthmian Premier Division	Wingate & Finchley	3-1 HT 2-0	Dartford
18/01/25 England Isthmian Premier Division	Wingate & Finchley	1-2	Dartford
19/10/24 England Isthmian Premier Division	Dartford	2-3	Wingate & Finchley

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	9	7	0	2	19	9	21
2	Dartford	9	7	0	2	15	9	21
3	Carshalton Ath	11	7	0	4	18	19	21
4	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15	11	19
5	Enfield Town	8	6	0	2	23	11	18
6	Dulwich	8	5	1	2	18	9	16
7	Eastbourne Borough	9	5	1	3	18	11	16
8	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17	15	15
9	St Albans	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
10	Ramsgate	9	4	1	4	21	13	13
11	Burgess Hill Town	8	3	4	1	15	10	13
12	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18	12	12
13	Chatham Town	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
14	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13	18	11
15	Aveley	9	3	1	5	16	16	10
16	Brentwood Town	9	3	0	6	15	16	9
17	Maldon Tiptree FC	10	3	0	7	14	30	9
18	Cheshunt	9	1	5	3	7	12	8
19	AFC Whyteleafe	10	1	3	6	11	20	6
20	Three Bridges	9	1	2	6	16	28	5
21	Whitehawk	10	1	2	7	10	22	5
22	Stanway Rovers	8	1	1	6	6	21	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dartford	Wingate & Finchley
Enfield Town	2-0 W	1-4 L
Carshalton Ath	3-0 W	0-2 L
Chatham Town	1-0 W	3-2 W
Welling	0-3 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dartford (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dartford

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-2	5	2	L
29/09	Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
15/09	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
12/09	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
31/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
28/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
22/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W

Wingate & Finchley

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Real Bedford England FA Trophy	–	3-0	–	–	W
14/09	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	2-1	4-3	1	6	W
12/09	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	1-1	1-4	2	2	L
31/08	Enfield Town England Isthmian Premier Division	1-2	1-4	4	1	L
29/08	Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
22/08	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
10/08	Carshalton Ath England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-2	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dartford win (58%). Probabilities: Dartford 58%, draw 22%, Wingate & Finchley 20%.

How many goals are expected in Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Dartford 2 · Wingate & Finchley 1.09), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.