Football · England Isthmian Premier Division · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Leatherhead vs Cheshunt

Team pages: Leatherhead · Cheshunt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Leatherhead1.76

Cheshunt1.16

1X2

51% 25% 24%

Leatherhead Draw Cheshunt

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Leatherhead 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLWDDD

Cheshunt 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDDLLWDW

Head-to-head

Leatherhead 2–2 Cheshunt (4 last)

Cheshunt1-0Leatherhead
Leatherhead1-2Cheshunt
Cheshunt1-3Leatherhead
Leatherhead3-0Cheshunt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leatherhead 1559 · Cheshunt 1486

	Leatherhead	Draw	Cheshunt
Our model	50%	26%	24%
Market	51%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leatherhead (rating 1559 vs 1486).
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leatherhead	Cheshunt
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	0 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6	4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.75

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:15 +11’	1.75	3.75	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leatherhead 2–0–2 Cheshunt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/02/22 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	1-0	Leatherhead
09/11/21 England Isthmian Premier Division	Leatherhead	1-2 HT 1-1	Cheshunt
01/02/20 England Isthmian Premier Division	Cheshunt	1-3	Leatherhead
05/10/19 England Isthmian Premier Division	Leatherhead	3-0	Cheshunt

Standings · England Isthmian Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Welling	10	8	0	2	20	9	24
2	Enfield Town	9	7	0	2	25	12	21
3	Dartford	10	7	0	3	16	11	21
4	Carshalton Ath	11	7	0	4	18	19	21
5	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15	11	19
6	Ramsgate	10	5	1	4	23	14	16
7	Dulwich	8	5	1	2	18	9	16
8	Eastbourne Borough	9	5	1	3	18	11	16
9	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17	15	15
10	St Albans	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
11	Burgess Hill Town	8	3	4	1	15	10	13
12	Cray Wanderers	8	3	3	2	18	12	12
13	Chatham Town	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
14	Cheshunt	10	2	5	3	9	13	11
15	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13	18	11
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17	18	10
17	Brentwood Town	9	3	0	6	15	16	9
18	Maldon Tiptree FC	11	3	0	8	14	31	9
19	AFC Whyteleafe	10	1	3	6	11	20	6
20	Three Bridges	9	1	2	6	16	28	5
21	Whitehawk	10	1	2	7	10	22	5
22	Stanway Rovers	9	1	1	7	7	23	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leatherhead	Cheshunt
AFC Whyteleafe	0-0 D	2-2 D
Aveley	2-1 W	2-1 W
Dulwich	2-3 L	0-2 L
Eastbourne Borough	1-0 W	0-3 L
Burgess Hill Town	2-2 D	1-1 D
Welling	4-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Leatherhead (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Leatherhead

WWDLWLWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/09	Three Bridges England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
15/09	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
12/09	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
31/08	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	Maldon Tiptree FC England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/08	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	4-1	–	–	W
08/08	Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-1	–	–	W

Cheshunt

DLDDDLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Aveley England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	2-1	7	0	W
26/09	Cray Wanderers England FA Trophy	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Lewes England Isthmian Premier Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/09	Welling England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Eastbourne Borough England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
31/08	St Albans England Isthmian Premier Division	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
29/08	AFC Whyteleafe England Isthmian Premier Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Burgess Hill Town England Isthmian Premier Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Dulwich England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	Cray Wanderers England Isthmian Premier Division	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leatherhead vs Cheshunt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leatherhead win (51%). Probabilities: Leatherhead 51%, draw 25%, Cheshunt 24%.

How many goals are expected in Leatherhead vs Cheshunt?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Leatherhead 1.76 · Cheshunt 1.16), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Leatherhead vs Cheshunt?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.